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Polymarket wallet 0xa4df2b360c381fc53915c5a58f606813e0b02f04 · on Polymarket since Nov 28, 2024 · also shown as Rude-Diaphragm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 96 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $94 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 3 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 35¢ | $0 | −$1 −64% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.