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Polymarket wallet 0xad535b9af4ce1669c0e37c3225aa0ef98e2e14d2 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2025 · also shown as Soggy-Ignorant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?Ends in 10h | Yes | 25 | 40¢ → 60¢ | $15 | +$5 +49% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 68d | Yamal | 30 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$3 −26% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 7 | 32¢ → 83¢ | $6 | +$4 +158% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 75 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $3 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 192 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +167% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.