Redpigs

Polymarket wallet 0xbfa4686d51a1de2834564a9ce94b01184ca40945 · on Polymarket since Oct 30, 2024 · also shown as Carefree-Danger

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$783
Volume traded: $64.2K
All-time rank: #3,025,171
Markets traded: 84
Recent hit rate: 58%29 of last 50 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	18	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
68d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$13
118d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?	BuyNo91¢	$27
155d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	BuyNo97¢	$117
185d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	BuyNo96¢	$117
190d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SellNo92¢	$117
198d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$116
198d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	BuyNo72¢	$63
198d	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BuyNo89¢	$53
201d	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	SellYes60¢	$12
239d	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	BuyNo97¢	$52
239d	Will February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$218
239d	Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	SellNo77¢	$145
240d	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	SellYes44¢	$9
240d	Discord IPO before 2027?	SellNo11¢	$0
240d	Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	BuyNo76¢	$143
240d	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	BuyYes45¢	$9
240d	Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	SellYes15¢	$15
240d	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	BuyYes66¢	$13
240d	Discord IPO before 2027?	BuyNo12¢	$0
240d	Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$10
240d	Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$10
291d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?	BuyNo98¢	$180
291d	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	SellYes24¢	$48
291d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellYes6¢	$6
291d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$71
291d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$25
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellNo94¢	$189
292d	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	BuyYes24¢	$8
292d	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	BuyYes24¢	$30
292d	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	BuyYes24¢	$10
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellYes6¢	$6
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$189
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$12
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellYes6¢	$12
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$12
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellNo94¢	$187
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$187
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	SellNo94¢	$187
292d	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$187
323d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo93¢	$82
323d	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo88¢	$13
323d	Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	SellNo99¢	$96
380d	Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$93
380d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo93¢	$159
460d	Xi Jinping out before October?	BuyNo96¢	$242
492d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	SellNo93¢	$28
498d	Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BuyNo89¢	$27
508d	Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?	SellYes<1¢	$0
508d	Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?	BuyNo99¢	$99
520d	Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?	SellYes<1¢	$0
525d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?	BuyNo99¢	$9
525d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?	BuyNo99¢	$108
525d	Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?	BuyNo99¢	$4
526d	Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?	BuyNo>99¢	$225
532d	Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?	BuyNo100¢	$90
532d	Will Lakas win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?	BuyYes99¢	$6
542d	Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?	SellYes<1¢	$0
547d	Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?	SellYes12¢	$6
547d	Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?	BuyYes20¢	$9
547d	Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?	BuyNo>99¢	$200

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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