| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 222 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on March 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on March 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 21 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 157 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or higher on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Oman in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on January 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 8°C on March 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on January 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 32-33°F on January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on February 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 156 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
