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Polymarket wallet 0xca787310136be6f8ffdde1458dd309dc6600e67e · on Polymarket since Dec 7, 2024 · also shown as Trusting-Wire
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 483 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $480 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 113 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $110 | −$2 −1.6% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 60 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 30 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | >99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | >99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.