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Polymarket wallet 0xd1452f7478cfa89b2bbe3bdb909386e7d0c61caa · on Polymarket since Jul 18, 2025 · also shown as Sparkling-Cloves
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Italy win?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 43 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.