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Polymarket wallet 0xd2f1d9569812df571268d21efe19ed4febc41071 · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2026 · also shown as Complicated-Anyone-Leg
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 68d | Mbappé | 2 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 233d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.5% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 523d | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BuyYes79¢ | $1 |
| 8d | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BuyMbappé54¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Buy8¢ | $10 |
| 11d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyNo37¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BuyYes80¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes87¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.