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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 81% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 80¢ · 82¢ (2¢) | $2.45K | in 525d |
| Pedro Sánchez | 17% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $4.47K | in 525d |
| Santiago Abascal | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $595 | in 524d |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $333 | in 525d |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $39.6 | in 525d |
| Yolanda Díaz | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 525d |
| María Jesús Montero | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Aitor Esteban | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Miguel Tellado | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Ester Muñoz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Pepa Millán | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Cuca Gamarra | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Borja Sémper | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Carles Puigdemont | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| Óscar Puente | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 525d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h |  vinii | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes81¢ | $1,626 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 1d |  x26 | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo86¢ → 83¢ | $1,957 | −$52 −2.6% | 14 |
| 2d |  iHaveBeenPwned | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes83¢ → 81¢ | $1,760 | −$42 −2.4% | 15 |
| 2d |  ImOldBruceWayne2 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes81¢ | $5,085 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 3d |  SirHarryOakes | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes83¢ → 81¢ | $2,001 | −$48 −2.4% | 15 |
| 3d | Caseysd | Carlos Cuerpo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d |  knrad2 fills | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo98¢ | $7,071 | −$38 −0.5% | 5 |
| 4d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo85¢ → 83¢ | $1,705 | +$37 +2.2% | — |
| 4d |  Gurupolimarket3 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo85¢ → 83¢ | $8,728 | −$159 −1.8% | 14 |
| 4d | xthype3 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo85¢ → 83¢ | $7,691 | −$138 −1.8% | 14 |
| 5d | Caseysd | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 10d | laureman5 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes79¢ → 81¢ | $8,896 | +$276 +3.1% | 18 |
| 11d | Htfujb | Yolanda Díaz | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,300 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 11d | Batundi | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes80¢ → 81¢ | $3,534 | +$44 +1.3% | 17 |
| 12d |  criptotemplo | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes80¢ → 81¢ | $1,052 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 13d | knrad | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,426 | +$10 +0.7% | 5 |
| 14d | donthackme | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,353 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | aneale014 | Santiago Abascal | BuyYes4¢ → 2¢ | $1,300 | −$607 −47% | 26 |
| 14d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,606 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | donthackme | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo84¢ → 83¢ | $1,137 | −$5 −0.4% | 15 |
| 14d | donthackme4 fills | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,094 | −$9 −0.2% | 4 |
| 14d | Bigggggggg | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyNo20¢ → 19¢ | $1,354 | −$68 −5.0% | 26 |
| 14d | Bigggggggg4 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 83¢ | $13,767 | +$408 +3.0% | 17 |
| 14d | Batundi3 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo83¢ | $18,854 | +$130 +0.7% | 15 |
| 15d |  sciuboi | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo82¢ → 83¢ | $1,421 | +$18 +1.3% | 16 |
| 15d | 123987456 | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 83¢ | $1,377 | +$36 +2.6% | 16 |
| 15d | AlphaGooo | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellNo19¢ | $1,976 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 15d | e46m3 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,184 | −$11 −0.9% | 5 |
| 15d | 123987456 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,651 | −$15 −0.9% | 5 |
| 15d | 123987456 | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 15d | 123987456 | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,651 | −$3 −0.2% | 4 |
| 15d | e46m33 fills | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,593 | −$5 −0.1% | 4 |
| 15d |  gmgmgmgmg | Carlos Cuerpo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 15d | Remorseful-Pepperoni3 fills | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes78¢ → 81¢ | $79,500 | +$2,769 +3.5% | 18 |
| 15d | donthackme | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,212 | −$11 −0.9% | 5 |
| 15d | Bigggggggg3 fills | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $10,136 | −$145 −1.4% | 5 |
| 15d | alex20011 | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo80¢ → 83¢ | $1,076 | +$45 +4.2% | 17 |
| 16d | Sorrymissjackson | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes75¢ → 81¢ | $1,266 | −$101 −8.0% | — |
| 16d | zcedrick | Pedro Sánchez | SellYes22¢ → 17¢ | $1,018 | +$235 +23% | — |
| 16d | Alexsago | Pedro Sánchez | SellYes24¢ → 17¢ | $1,162 | +$353 +30% | — |
| 16d | Alexsago | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes24¢ → 17¢ | $2,423 | −$772 −32% | 28 |
| 16d | turbolovex | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyNo27¢ → 19¢ | $5,216 | −$1,549 −30% | 31 |
| 16d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo79¢ → 83¢ | $3,576 | −$209 −5.8% | — |
| 16d |  a.weidel | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | SellYes79¢ → 81¢ | $3,885 | −$98 −2.5% | — |
| 16d |  Trading4Fridge | Pedro Sánchez | BuyYes20¢ → 17¢ | $1,765 | −$293 −17% | 27 |
| 16d | vinii | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo81¢ → 83¢ | $2,652 | −$75 −2.8% | — |
| 17d | gesst | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 83¢ | $2,035 | +$51 +2.5% | 16 |
| 17d |  Barboncino | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo81¢ → 83¢ | $1,539 | −$45 −2.9% | — |
| 17d |  NERA | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo81¢ → 83¢ | $1,630 | +$39 +2.4% | 16 |
| 17d | DaveDelchev | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes82¢ → 81¢ | $3,203 | −$51 −1.6% | 16 |
| 18d | alex20011 | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 18d | alex20011 | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,088 | −$10 −1.0% | 5 |
| 18d | ImOldBruceWayne | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes80¢ → 81¢ | $1,243 | +$16 +1.3% | 17 |
| 18d | Authorized-Gazelle | Pedro Sánchez | SellNo82¢ → 83¢ | $3,628 | −$69 −1.9% | — |
| 18d |  JustClickeverywhere | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | gmgmgmgmg | Santiago Abascal | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,078 | −$14 −1.3% | 5 |
| 18d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo80¢ → 83¢ | $2,762 | +$123 +4.4% | 17 |
| 18d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Alberto Núñez Feijóo | BuyYes79¢ → 81¢ | $1,580 | +$40 +2.5% | 18 |
| 18d | Remorseful-Pepperoni | Pedro Sánchez | BuyNo79¢ → 83¢ | $25,000 | +$1,392 +5.6% | 18 |
| 18d | Bigggggggg | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,992 | −$7 −0.1% | 4 |
knrad7,795 shares
Seutervoinen7,590 sharesSirHarryOakes4,858 sharesThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 81¢ for Alberto Núñez Feijóo means the market gives it about 81%.