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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$1 −45% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 304d | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BuyYes43¢ | $2 |
| 306d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BuyYes90¢ | $2 |
| 306d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes35¢ | $2 |
| 306d | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | BuyYes28¢ | $2 |
| 306d | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | BuyYes93¢ | $2 |
| 306d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes56¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.