Lyka2.718281

Polymarket wallet 0xd6832c7a72f20788e9d3bd6bfead5022280c6fd3 · on Polymarket since Oct 12, 2026 · also shown as Jubilant-Wastebasket-Passbook

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $80.6
All-time profit: −$9.57
Volume traded: $31.3K
All-time rank: #1,847,427
Markets traded: 86
Recent hit rate: 0%0 of last 4 closed

Open positions

82 markets · $80.6

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	931	1¢ → 1¢	$12	−$1 −11%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5M and $6M?Ends in 18h	Yes	856	<1¢ → <1¢	$4	+$3 +285%
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	35	3¢ → 8¢	$3	+$2 +192%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	110	1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$2 +181%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M?Ends in 18h	Yes	861	<1¢ → <1¢	$3	+$2 +158%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$3	−$2 −38%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	592	1¢ → <1¢	$2	−$1 −31%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	143	1¢ → 1¢	$2	−$0 −3.6%
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	316	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +90%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	367	1¢ → <1¢	$2	−$0 −17%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$2	−$1 −25%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?Ends in 18h	Yes	63	2¢ → 2¢	$1	+$0 +47%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	27	4¢ → 4¢	$1	+$0 +2.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	50	2¢ → 2¢	$1	+$0 +2.5%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	24	4¢ → 4¢	$1	+$0 +0.3%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 18h	No	41	2¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −0.2%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	37	3¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −1.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	43	2¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −2.2%
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	19	5¢ → 5¢	$1	−$0 −3.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	9	11¢ → 11¢	$1	−$0 −4.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	100	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −5.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	11	9¢ → 9¢	$1	−$0 −5.6%
US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d	Yes	13	8¢ → 8¢	$1	−$0 −6.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	17	6¢ → 6¢	$1	−$0 −8.3%
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	Yes	15	7¢ → 6¢	$1	−$0 −9.7%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d	Yes	177	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −12%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	250	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −13%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	143	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −14%
Fed abolished before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	55	2¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −15%
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	12	8¢ → 7¢	$1	−$0 −15%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 11d	Yes	63	2¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −16%
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	56	2¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −16%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?Ends in 18h	Yes	151	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −17%
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	29	3¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −17%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	27	4¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −18%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	182	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −18%
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	31	3¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −20%
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	23	4¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −22%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	34	3¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −24%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	79	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −25%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Ends in 69d	No	125	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −25%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	1,500	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −62%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	74	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −26%
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	21	5¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −28%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	283	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −29%
US defaults on debt by 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	78	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −30%
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	200	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −30%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	167	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −33%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	53	2¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −39%
Tornado in California by October 25?Ends in 2d	Yes	20	5¢ → 3¢	$1	−$0 −41%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d	Yes	167	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −42%
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	26	4¢ → 2¢	$1	−$0 −44%
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M?Ends in 18h	Yes	102	1¢ → 1¢	$1	−$0 −49%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	333	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −50%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	No	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	500	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	500	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$1 −50%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	881	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −56%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 180 and 190 million views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	852	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −57%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?Ends in 38d	Yes	334	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −67%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	608	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −70%
Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	598	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −70%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	496	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −75%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?Ends ended	No	310	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$2 −92%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?Ends ended	Yes	140	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −93%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	140	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Settled - ready to redeem	No	433	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	198	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?Settled - ready to redeem	No	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2h	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$1
3h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BuyNo1¢	$1
3h	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?	BuyNo1¢	$1
4h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BuyNo1¢	$1
4h	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	BuyYes1¢	$1
4h	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	BuyYes1¢	$1
4h	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	SellYes7¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	BuyNo<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 190 and 200 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 180 and 190 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	BuyYes1¢	$1
7h	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	BuyNo1¢	$1
8h	Tornado in California by October 25?	BuyYes5¢	$1
8h	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo4¢	$1
8h	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BuyYes3¢	$1
8h	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$1
8h	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$1
8h	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	BuyYes9¢	$1
8h	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BuyYes6¢	$1
8h	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	BuyYes11¢	$1
8h	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes2¢	$1
8h	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$1
8h	Will Zohran Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his next livestream?	BuyNo1¢	$1
8h	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	BuyNo1¢	$1
8h	Will KICK - Live Streaming be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?	BuyNo2¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5M and $6M?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	BuyYes2¢	$1
8h	Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	BuyYes9¢	$1
8h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	BuyNo1¢	$1
8h	Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
8h	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	BuyYes3¢	$1
8h	Fed abolished before 2027?	BuyYes2¢	$1
8h	US defaults on debt by 2027?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	BuyYes2¢	$1
8h	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	BuyNo2¢	$1
8h	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	BuyYes3¢	$1
8h	Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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