| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 69¢ | $69 | −$24 −26% |
| Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $47 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 60 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $38 | −$6 −13% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 20 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 19 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.4% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$3 −20% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +54% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 83¢ → 72¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $0 | −$0 −9.6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 29 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 34 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 112 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 28 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
