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Polymarket wallet 0xe8d5e8f502a857570936434ae005d5e9adcb1cae · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Cautious-Folklore
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 944 | 26¢ → 59¢ | $558 | +$309 +124% |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $120 | +$61 +104% |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −99% |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.