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Polymarket wallet 0xefc858dd61feaf2694ffb3a33b6a26024ad05efe · on Polymarket since Dec 17, 2024 · also shown as Ill-Fated-Oatmeal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul BrancaccioSettled - ready to redeem | Raul Brancaccio | 10 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 72d | Yes | 5 | 60¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$3 −88% |
| Will Canton launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,394 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis ShapovalovSettled - ready to redeem | Denis Shapovalov | 6 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.