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Polymarket wallet 0xf892cf876d2b14e8c11920ba766efa132bc32655 · on Polymarket since Feb 23, 2025 · also shown as Shadowy-Testing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Left be part of the next German government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,204 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 607d | SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 607d | Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
| 607d | BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will the Left be part of the next German government? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 607d | Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes2¢ | $7 |
| 607d | Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 607d | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.