Admirka

Polymarket wallet 0xf94d126475912e9a21693b0356ff1016daf2cfe1 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2026 · also shown as Focused-Necklace-Woodwind

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $61.6
All-time profit: −$942
Volume traded: $367K
All-time rank: #3,041,396
Markets traded: 14,010
Recent hit rate: 34%17 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $47

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by at least 12%?Ends in 10d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 8¢	$4	+$4 +7400%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $10 end of October?Ends in 6d	No	50	<1¢ → 7¢	$3	+$3 +6862%
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 7¢	$3	+$3 +6660%
Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 4¢	$2	+$2 +3550%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $392 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 3¢	$2	+$2 +3300%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $840 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 3¢	$2	+$2 +3151%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of October?Ends in 6d	No	28	<1¢ → 6¢	$2	+$2 +5557%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of October?Ends in 6d	No	30	<1¢ → 5¢	$2	+$1 +4963%
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in October?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 3¢	$1	+$1 +2855%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	35	<1¢ → 4¢	$1	+$1 +3855%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 3¢	$1	+$1 +2450%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	50	<1¢ → 2¢	$1	+$1 +2350%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	46	<1¢ → 2¢	$1	+$1 +2202%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	46	<1¢ → 2¢	$1	+$1 +2000%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $280 end of October?Ends in 6d	Yes	45	<1¢ → 2¢	$1	+$1 +2002%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $280 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 2¢	$1	+$1 +1752%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $830 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$1	+$1 +1202%
Will BNG win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	15	<1¢ → 4¢	$1	+$1 +3514%
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$1	+$0 +900%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +600%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +600%
Will Mistral be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +550%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +550%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +500%
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +500%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +501%
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	46	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +550%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +500%
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $88 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Ends in 159d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 365d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of October?Ends in 6d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $290 end of October?Ends in 6d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	43	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +500%
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will Éric Zemmour win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d	No	50	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +401%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	41	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +501%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.50 end of October?Ends in 6d	No	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	49	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	40	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +500%
Will Podemos win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	42	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	44	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +401%
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	40	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	40	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	38	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	38	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 128d	Yes	38	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Baidu be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	38	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	34	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +501%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 365d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will Alberto López Rosas win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 226d	Yes	40	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 11d	No	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	36	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 0%-50%?Ends in 11d	Yes	46	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +300%
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	33	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	40	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +350%
Will Alberto Fernández win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 365d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +250%
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	18	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +850%
Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	27	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +551%
Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan?Ends in 10d	Yes	17	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +901%
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	30	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	30	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	30	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +451%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	24	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +550%
Will Democrats win the Georgia Governor election and Republicans win the Georgia Senate election?Ends in 11d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Olivia Colman win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d	Yes	30	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +400%
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	27	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	49	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will Hélène Laporte be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	46	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +200%
Will David Fincher win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d	Yes	25	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Andrew Haigh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d	Yes	25	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +450%
Will Louis Aliot be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Guillermo Rodriguez win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +150%
Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 100d	Yes	50	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +150%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1m	Will Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will Agustín Hernández Ortiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will José María Tapia Franco win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will Agustín Hernández Ortiz win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
35m	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
1h	Will Nami win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Nami win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Nami win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Nami win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
1h	Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will James Newbury be the next Premier of Victoria?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Sam Groth be the next Premier of Victoria?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will James Newbury be the next Premier of Victoria?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will Sam Groth be the next Premier of Victoria?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
2h	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
2h	James Norton announced as next James Bond?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	James Norton announced as next James Bond?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by at least 12%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by at least 12%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2h	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
2h	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo<1¢	$0
3h	Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will David Rachline be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
3h	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4h	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Democrats win fewer than 5 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
5h	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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