Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 192 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $192 | +$139 +263% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 309 | 16¢ → 20¢ | $63 | +$13 +27% |
| Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 121 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 35 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.