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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Giles Watling | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jovan Owusu-Nepaul | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew Bensilum | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Natasha Osben | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tony Mack | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Pemberton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Count Binface | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Clouston | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Stevens | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pamela Walford | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AA | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AB | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AC | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AE | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AF | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AG | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AH | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AJ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AK | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AL | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AM | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AN | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AO | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AP | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AQ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person AR | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d |  Flipadelphia4 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,705 | +$90 +0.6% | 10 |
| 71d | M8882 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,120 | +$349 +8.5% | 10 |
| 71d |  The-Joker2 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,794 | +$22 +0.4% | 10 |
| 71d | krechel202 | Nigel Farage | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 71d | M888 | Nigel Farage | SellYes>99¢ | $3,394 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 71d | aviato | Nigel Farage | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,181 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 71d |  tourists4 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $50,008 | +$2,272 +4.5% | 10 |
| 71d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Count Binface | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 71d | Trump20282 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $65,469 | +$1,056 +1.6% | 10 |
| 71d | Trump2028 | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,963 | +$42 +0.7% | 10 |
| 71d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA4 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $18,883 | +$459 +2.4% | 10 |
| 71d | flawfence | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,637 | +$127 +0.8% | 10 |
| 71d | SaylorMoon | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,176 | +$29 +0.9% | 10 |
| 71d | SplendidAmadeus4 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,374 | +$120 +0.9% | 10 |
| 71d |  Wagner275738 | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,571 | +$29 +0.8% | 10 |
| 72d | purplegatto | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$16 +1.2% | 10 |
| 72d |  Sardinianshepherd | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$13 +1.1% | 10 |
| 72d | Pangia | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$13 +1.2% | 10 |
| 72d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $59,503 | +$712 +1.2% | 10 |
| 72d | Sagand | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,800 | +$103 +0.8% | 10 |
| 72d |  yungstalin | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $47,499 | +$528 +1.1% | 10 |
| 72d | Admirable-Trust11 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,264 | +$218 +1.1% | 10 |
| 73d | pilorget | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 |
| 73d | Experienced-Paradise | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,700 | +$78 +1.0% | 10 |
| 73d | bathenay5 | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | +$30 +0.9% | 10 |
| 73d |  Jellow2 | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | +$43 +1.0% | 10 |
| 73d | mr.ozi2 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,345 | +$80 +1.0% | 10 |
| 73d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Nigel Farage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $60,769 | −$744 −1.2% | — |
| 73d |  RealWigger | Nigel Farage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 73d | Fleebb | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 74d | HerrieDavis | Nigel Farage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,768 | −$109 −1.0% | — |
| 74d | pop | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,525 | −$45 −0.8% | — |
| 74d | plumbis2 fills | Nigel Farage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,542 | −$70 −0.9% | — |
| 74d | plumbis7 fills | Count Binface | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $48,818 | −$1,158 −2.4% | — |
| 74d |  Warren-Buffett2 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,589 | +$222 +1.6% | 10 |
| 74d | Flipadelphia | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,034 | +$218 +0.8% | 10 |
| 76d |  cambridgeisaac2 fills | Nigel Farage | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,542 | −$103 −1.6% | — |
| 76d | thoodr5 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,471 | +$298 +0.7% | 10 |
| 76d | thoodr3 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,832 | +$226 +1.0% | 10 |
| 76d | jimmyMakeMoney | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 |
| 77d | momo5132 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$28 +1.1% | 10 |
| 77d | nonkenny90 | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$12 +1.0% | 10 |
| 77d | cambridgeisaac3 fills | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,560 | −$108 −1.3% | — |
| 78d | answerlumbering | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 78d | yougotme2 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $21,525 | +$339 +1.6% | 10 |
| 78d |  Parz1vaI | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,061 | +$28 +0.9% | 10 |
| 78d | 0xe72b…3c9c | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$19 +1.1% | 10 |
| 78d | Jellow22 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,461 | +$607 +5.8% | 10 |
| 78d | flawfence | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$20 +1.2% | 10 |
| 79d | RoadtoSanary | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | −$20 −1.2% | — |
| 79d |  MetaloidManiac | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 79d | plumbis18 fills | Nigel Farage | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $155,098 | +$8,639 +5.6% | 10 |
| 79d | Uncommon-Tabernacle-Lab | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | +$25 +1.3% | 10 |
| 79d | plumbis19 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $125,208 | +$7,285 +5.8% | 10 |
| 79d | Elias.Thornwell2 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,390 | +$85 +1.9% | 10 |
| 80d | mpstire-lutuwar | Count Binface | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,157 | +$68 +1.3% | 10 |
| 80d | mpstire-lutuwar | Nigel Farage | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,965 | +$36 +1.2% | 10 |
| 80d |  zthunderfury | Nigel Farage | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 81d | Owl666 | Count Binface | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,427 | −$105 −1.4% | — |
| 81d | StudentMoney6 fills | Count Binface | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $55,812 | +$1,571 +2.8% | 10 |
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Nigel Farage means the market gives it about 100%.