| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15,863 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $14,515 | +$3,142 +28% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10,262 | 52¢ → 86¢ | $8,825 | +$3,457 +64% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 862 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $786 | +$36 +4.8% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 399 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $369 | +$22 +6.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 395 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $365 | +$18 +5.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 417 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $315 | −$15 −4.4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,471 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $309 | +$12 +4.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,203 | 57¢ → 24¢ | $283 | −$403 −59% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,677 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $277 | +$58 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 294 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $272 | +$13 +5.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 254 | 51¢ → 92¢ | $232 | +$102 +79% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 211 | 62¢ → >99¢ | $210 | +$79 +60% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,030 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $160 | −$16 −9.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 121 | 37¢ → >99¢ | $121 | +$76 +173% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 492 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $111 | −$37 −25% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $98 | +$11 +13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 106 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $90 | +$15 +20% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 123 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $87 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 85 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $84 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 151 | 69¢ → 54¢ | $81 | −$23 −22% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 80 | 49¢ → 93¢ | $74 | +$35 +89% |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$11 +18% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | No | 180 | 54¢ → 38¢ | $68 | −$29 −30% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 84 | 49¢ → 78¢ | $65 | +$24 +58% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $61 | +$8 +15% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 128 | 39¢ → 45¢ | $58 | +$7 +15% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 70 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $56 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 145 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $55 | +$3 +6.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 82 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $52 | +$9 +20% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 863 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $47 | −$13 −21% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$12 +37% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 131 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 284 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $44 | −$40 −47% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 79d | Yes | 66 | 46¢ → 67¢ | $44 | +$14 +46% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 56 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $43 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 177 | 68¢ → 24¢ | $42 | −$78 −65% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $42 | −$4 −8.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 352 | 21¢ → 12¢ | $41 | −$33 −45% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $40 | +$10 +35% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 13¢ → 92¢ | $39 | +$34 +604% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$4 +11% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.0% |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 46 | 33¢ → 73¢ | $33 | +$18 +120% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 58 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $33 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 39 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $32 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 40 | 51¢ → 76¢ | $31 | +$10 +49% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 34 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $30 | +$2 +5.4% |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 11¢ | $29 | +$19 +192% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $28 | −$2 −6.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 50 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $28 | +$4 +18% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 47¢ → 73¢ | $28 | +$10 +54% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$1 +5.2% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 28 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$3 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 62 | 63¢ → 44¢ | $27 | −$12 −31% |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Ends in 250d | Yes | 109 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 155 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $23 | −$1 −6.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 31 | 61¢ → 71¢ | $22 | +$3 +15% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 31 | 48¢ → 68¢ | $21 | +$6 +41% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 62 | 60¢ → 34¢ | $21 | −$16 −44% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 29 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 58¢ → 71¢ | $19 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 96 | 42¢ → 19¢ | $18 | −$23 −56% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 459 | 41¢ → 4¢ | $17 | −$170 −91% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 150 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 159d | Yes | 267 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $15 | −$4 −21% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 90 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $14 | +$5 +45% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 210 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 176 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $13 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 13 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | No | 16 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $13 | +$1 +12% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 130 | 35¢ → 10¢ | $12 | −$33 −73% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 15 | 56¢ → 82¢ | $12 | +$4 +46% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 66 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $12 | −$8 −38% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 157 | 42¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$54 −82% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 60¢ → 91¢ | $12 | +$4 +51% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 52 | 31¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$5 −31% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 16 | 47¢ → 69¢ | $11 | +$3 +46% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $10 | −$12 −54% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $10 | +$5 +95% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 14 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $10 | +$2 +32% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 56¢ → 73¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 25 | 19¢ → 35¢ | $9 | +$4 +88% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 22d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 46¢ → 11¢ | $8 | −$27 −76% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 21 | 8¢ → 41¢ | $8 | +$7 +406% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 41 | 54¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$14 −62% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 24 | 52¢ → 33¢ | $8 | −$5 −37% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 8 | 56¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$3 +69% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 9 | 54¢ → 83¢ | $7 | +$3 +53% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 27 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $7 | −$4 −37% |
