| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15,364 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $2,228 | −$774 −26% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 4,996 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $1,649 | −$273 −14% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 5,162 | 30¢ → 25¢ | $1,265 | −$285 −18% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 4,000 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $1,180 | −$121 −9.3% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 5,620 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $1,152 | −$436 −27% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 3,178 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $1,128 | −$30 −2.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,520 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $996 | +$84 +9.2% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,033 | 55¢ → 73¢ | $749 | +$183 +32% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 927 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $602 | +$45 +8.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 8,000 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $600 | −$1,130 −65% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,750 | 25¢ → 9¢ | $574 | −$1,140 −67% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,290 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $510 | −$113 −18% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 933 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $490 | +$11 +2.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,000 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $470 | −$197 −30% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 2,500 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $463 | −$53 −10% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,117 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $458 | −$82 −15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 960 | 38¢ → 43¢ | $408 | +$44 +12% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,515 | 44¢ → 16¢ | $390 | −$722 −65% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10,391 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $379 | −$38 −9.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,000 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $350 | +$30 +9.4% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,116 | 20¢ → 30¢ | $329 | +$109 +50% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 480 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $303 | +$90 +42% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,500 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $293 | −$53 −15% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,042 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $286 | −$206 −42% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 1,703 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $273 | −$53 −16% |
| Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 800 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $236 | +$6 +2.6% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | Yes | 2,600 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $195 | −$239 −55% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,734 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $192 | −$706 −79% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,470 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $176 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 39¢ → 18¢ | $175 | −$215 −55% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,330 | 42¢ → 8¢ | $175 | −$793 −82% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,500 | 39¢ → 5¢ | $170 | −$1,210 −88% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 790 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $142 | −$68 −32% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,726 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $138 | −$106 −43% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 759 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $133 | −$34 −20% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 497 | 36¢ → 26¢ | $129 | −$51 −28% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,185 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $128 | −$1,097 −90% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,500 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $128 | −$134 −51% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,221 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $127 | −$38 −23% |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 197 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $125 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 189 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.3% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 133 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $85 | +$8 +11% |
| Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 187 | 53¢ → 44¢ | $81 | −$18 −19% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,407 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $60 | +$9 +18% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 812 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $57 | +$3 +5.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 655 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $53 | +$7 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 325 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $47 | +$9 +23% |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 62 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $47 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | No | 99 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $46 | +$9 +25% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 1,415 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $44 | +$3 +6.9% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 307 | 24¢ → 13¢ | $40 | −$34 −46% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,365 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $32 | −$24 −43% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 540 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $28 | −$21 −43% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 90 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $27 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 303 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $27 | +$3 +12% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $24 | −$85 −78% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 116 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $24 | +$3 +17% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 389 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 398 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $22 | +$4 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 170 | 35¢ → 13¢ | $21 | −$38 −64% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 38 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 130 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $15 | +$5 +44% |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | +$4 +100% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,000 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$125 −95% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,500 | 22¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$320 −98% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$49 −91% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 138 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$10 −68% |
| Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,728 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | +$3 +150% |
| Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 72 | <1¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$4 +5856% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 87 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $4 | +$1 +25% |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | +$2 +100% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,729 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$132 −97% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 36¢ → 13¢ | $3 | −$5 −65% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,001 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$92 −97% |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 683 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +200% |
| Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Parallel Tales win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 625 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +150% |
| Will Sheep in the Box win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 728 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Minions & Monsters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 526 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +152% |
| Will Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 840 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +51% |
| Will Hope win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 780 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +50% |
| Will The Man I Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 581 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$1 +100% |
| Will The Dreamed Adventure win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 675 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 159 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 77 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +450% |
| Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 118 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +250% |
| Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 68 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +500% |
| Will The Beloved win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 238 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Emily Blunt win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 118 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +200% |
| Will Joan Collins win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 118 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +200% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 118 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +200% |
| Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 47 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +550% |
| Will Bitter Christmas win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 182 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Hoppers win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 47 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 1 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 210 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 706 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 767 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
