| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,010 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $994 | +$79 +8.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,148 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $993 | −$4 −0.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,188 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $968 | −$32 −3.2% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 441 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $425 | +$25 +6.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 402 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $356 | +$37 +12% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 322 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $316 | +$19 +6.3% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 287 | 57¢ → 97¢ | $278 | +$113 +69% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 217d | Yes | 2,321 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $244 | −$36 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 477 | 29¢ → 41¢ | $193 | +$57 +41% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 193 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $165 | +$14 +9.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 185 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $158 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 405 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $144 | +$47 +48% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 159 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $131 | +$14 +12% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 132 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $129 | +$30 +31% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 125 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $124 | +$7 +6.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 182 | 20¢ → 66¢ | $120 | +$84 +227% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 314 | 22¢ → 35¢ | $108 | +$38 +54% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 106 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $105 | +$30 +39% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 264 | 50¢ → 40¢ | $104 | −$28 −21% |
| Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 101 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 117 | 49¢ → 78¢ | $90 | +$33 +57% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 90 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $89 | +$18 +24% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 89 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $79 | +$17 +28% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 433d | No | 93 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $77 | +$19 +33% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 110 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $76 | +$10 +15% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 84 | 63¢ → 90¢ | $75 | +$22 +42% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 75 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $72 | +$11 +18% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 76 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $65 | +$5 +9.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 91 | 59¢ → 71¢ | $64 | +$10 +19% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 68 | 62¢ → 91¢ | $62 | +$19 +45% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 56 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$2 +3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 144 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $48 | −$5 −9.8% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 72 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $44 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 61 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $41 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Ends in 3d | Yes | 42 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $38 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 142 | 20¢ → 26¢ | $37 | +$9 +32% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 34 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $34 | +$4 +15% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 3d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$17 +117% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 57¢ → 74¢ | $28 | +$7 +30% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 33 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $28 | +$7 +35% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 28 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $28 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 433d | No | 31 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 42 | 28¢ → 63¢ | $26 | +$14 +119% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 203 | 26¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$27 −52% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 114 | 33¢ → 22¢ | $25 | −$13 −35% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 26 | 37¢ → 95¢ | $24 | +$15 +158% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 25 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 88d | No | 32 | 82¢ → 67¢ | $21 | −$5 −19% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 52 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $20 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 68d | Yes | 266 | 25¢ → 8¢ | $20 | −$47 −70% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 23 | 23¢ → 81¢ | $19 | +$13 +250% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 5d | No | 55 | 59¢ → 34¢ | $19 | −$14 −42% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 45d | Yes | 39 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 4d | No | 127 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $17 | −$10 −37% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 26 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 260 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$9 −39% |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 3,471 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | +$1 +7.4% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 276 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $14 | −$21 −60% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 237 | 32¢ → 6¢ | $13 | −$62 −83% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | Yes | 19 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $11 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 13 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $11 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 3d | No | 13 | 8¢ → 81¢ | $11 | +$10 +956% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 13d | Yes | 31 | 31¢ → 33¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Ends in 13d | No | 8 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 25 | 54¢ → 31¢ | $8 | −$6 −43% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,739 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$24 −75% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 46d | No | 31 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$2 +41% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$5 +271% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 114 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$19 −72% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 287 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$35 −84% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 209 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$19 −74% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 96 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$7 −51% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 12 | 23¢ → 52¢ | $6 | +$3 +128% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 74 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$12 −67% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $5 | −$1 −11% |
| USMCA extended in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 120 | 26¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$26 −84% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $4 | −$0 −10.0% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 46 | 37¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$12 −74% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 433d | Anthropic | 4 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 41¢ → 55¢ | $4 | +$1 +34% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 160 | 74¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$114 −96% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 9h | Yes | 4 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 7 | 31¢ → 46¢ | $3 | +$1 +48% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 40¢ → 84¢ | $3 | +$2 +110% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 58 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$7 −69% |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$8 −73% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 99 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −53% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 170 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$21 −90% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 23 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$4 −64% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 9h | No | 99 | 25¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$22 −91% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 66 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$18 −90% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
