| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 449 | 22¢ → 96¢ | $432 | +$333 +337% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 131 | 40¢ → 90¢ | $118 | +$66 +128% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 3d | No | 53 | 11¢ → 81¢ | $43 | +$37 +620% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 157 | 60¢ → 26¢ | $41 | −$53 −57% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 51 | 39¢ → 43¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.0% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 21 | >99¢ → 96¢ | $20 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 42 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $20 | +$5 +32% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 19 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $18 | +$3 +24% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $16 | +$4 +30% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 47¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$8 +107% |
| Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 38¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 151 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $14 | −$18 −55% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 66¢ | $14 | +$4 +36% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 14 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 225d | Yes | 18 | 54¢ → 77¢ | $13 | +$4 +41% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 30 | 51¢ → 44¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 35 | 28¢ → 37¢ | $13 | +$3 +32% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 19 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 433d | No | 15 | 99¢ → 83¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $12 | +$2 +24% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Ends in 433d | No | 39 | 11¢ → 31¢ | $12 | +$8 +177% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 10d | No | 12 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 12 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 13 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 309 | 33¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$90 −89% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 432d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.8% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 433d | Anthropic | 11 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 432d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 10 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 112 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $10 | −$5 −36% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 433d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$2 +30% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 520,000 and 560,000?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 225d | No | 9 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$2 +22% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?Ends in 10d | No | 9 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | No | 9 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 8 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 14 | 72¢ → 61¢ | $8 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 16 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 8 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Ends in 10d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 61¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 433d | No | 16 | 60¢ → 46¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 8 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | No | 9 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 7 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?Ends in 10d | No | 9 | 99¢ → 83¢ | $7 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | No | 7 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 67d | No | 7 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 7 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 84d | No | 7 | >99¢ → 95¢ | $7 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?Ends in 25d | No | 11 | 17¢ → 60¢ | $7 | +$5 +253% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 21 | 20¢ → 32¢ | $7 | +$2 +60% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 480,000 and 520,000?Ends in 10d | No | 7 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 66 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $6 | −$4 −37% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Tanya Saari win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 2d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$5 −46% |
| Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | No | 7 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 28 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 95d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Carlos Herrera Tello win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 225d | No | 5 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Helene Andersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | No | 5 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 99d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.8% |
