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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 9 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 4 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 6 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 7 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 8 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 10 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 11 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 12 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 13 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 14 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 16 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 17 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 18 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 22 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 23 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 24 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 26 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No New Leader by March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Leviathan1832 | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,030 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | Sweet-Playroom | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,750 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | jesus911 | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,237 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | panzer43561 | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,032 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d |  abhionpoly | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,865 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | Single-OstrichNew account | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,209 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | Thin-Print | March 8 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,845 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | apple-pi | March 9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 229d |  BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,667 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 229d |  Car2 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,240 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 229d |  Burnmoneyuser | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 229d | apple-pi | March 8 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,217 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 229d |  scout2 fills | March 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $40,893 | +$152 +0.4% | 20 |
| 229d | Burnmoneyuser | March 8 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,898 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 229d |  ZhangMuZhi..16 fills | March 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $152,905 | +$307 +0.2% | 20 |
| 229d | abhionpoly | March 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | +$17 +0.9% | 20 |
| 229d |  ggmggn3 fills | March 8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,909 | +$91 +0.3% | 20 |
| 229d | Car5 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,299 | +$407 +1.9% | 20 |
| 229d |  duderr2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,579 | +$87 +1.3% | 20 |
| 229d |  debased3 fills | March 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,424 | +$256 +1.7% | 20 |
| 229d |  0xdc3E831cad | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,343 | +$488 +1.7% | 20 |
| 229d |  Bertapotamous4 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $35,889 | +$730 +2.0% | 20 |
| 229d |  ScottyNooo | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,276 | +$57 +1.7% | 20 |
| 229d | Logan. | March 8 | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | +$1,171 +100% | — |
| 229d |  TeemuPukki | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | +$76 +2.5% | 20 |
| 229d | Skinny-Class | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,623 | +$177 +2.7% | 20 |
| 229d | apple-pi | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$42 +2.7% | 20 |
| 229d |  adonpoli2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,020 | +$180 +2.2% | 20 |
| 229d | TeemuPukki | March 8 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | −$62 −2.8% | — |
| 229d | ScottyNooo | March 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$28 +2.6% | 20 |
| 229d |  Tigerofthehood2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,536 | +$362 +3.4% | 20 |
| 229d |  charliegooseman | March 8 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 229d | araeyv12 fills | March 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$103 +2.1% | 20 |
| 229d | stealer | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | +$38 +1.9% | 20 |
| 229d | Burnmoneyuser | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | +$51 +1.5% | 20 |
| 229d |  zhupercyclist | March 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$37 +2.6% | 20 |
| 229d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | March 8 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | −$239 −3.6% | — |
| 229d | jesus911 | March 9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$30 +2.5% | 20 |
| 229d | Single-OstrichNew account | March 9 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,229 | +$187 +3.0% | 21 |
| 229d | spacegliderr2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,547 | +$187 +3.4% | 20 |
| 229d | Sweet-Playroom | March 9 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,528 | +$229 +3.5% | 20 |
| 229d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | March 9 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,171 | +$90 +4.2% | 20 |
| 229d | RolandChang | March 8 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$53 +4.6% | 20 |
| 229d | Same-Deodorant | March 8 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$191 −9.7% | — |
| 229d | kapak0072 fills | March 8 | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,274 | −$2,274 −100% | 26 |
| 229d | rated4 fills | No New Leader by March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,204 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 229d |  Tenebrus72 fills | March 8 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,493 | −$388 −3.7% | — |
| 229d | Other-Reader2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,730 | +$71 +1.1% | 20 |
| 229d | BrightStars3 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,246 | +$186 +2.3% | 20 |
| 229d |  halker | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$21 +1.8% | 20 |
| 229d | Uaetop | March 8 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,647 | −$48 −1.8% | — |
| 229d | yee123 | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$45 +2.7% | 20 |
| 229d |  FxCK-MDPog2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,512 | +$228 +1.5% | 20 |
| 229d | SleeperHunter | March 8 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | +$44 +2.8% | 20 |
| 229d |  Rex4163 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,796 | +$116 +2.4% | 20 |
| 229d | jdcgo2 fills | March 8 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,460 | +$77 +2.2% | 20 |
| 229d |  Quantollah2 fills | March 9 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,541 | +$430 +17% | 20 |
| 229d |  Quantintel3 fills | March 9 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,619 | +$2,081 +45% | 20 |
| 229d |  PajamaSam | March 9 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,056 | +$157 +5.1% | 20 |
| 229d | Leviathan18324 fills | March 9 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,571 | +$782 +5.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the date (Iran Standard Time) on which Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader of Iran. The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient to resolve this market to the date of that announcement regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no qualifying announcement has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No New Leader by March 31”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 9 means the market gives it about 100%.