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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | — | +3 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| October 31 | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | pieped | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 92¢ | $1,492 | +$42 +2.8% | 20 |
| 10d | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 92¢ | $1,589 | +$102 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 10d | KiernanMeister | December 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 92¢ | $1,352 | +$225 +17% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Kimberly Guilfoyle between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.