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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | 6% | — | −2 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 524d |
| Greta Thunberg | 2% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 524d |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 9% | +6 pts | 0 pts | 9¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $10.2K | in 524d |
| UNRWA | 3% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $6.13K | in 524d |
| International Criminal Court | 2% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | $6.11K | in 524d |
| Doctors Without Borders | 2% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | $5.32K | in 524d |
| António Guterres | 3% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $4.16K | in 524d |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 524d |
| International Court of Justice | 2% | — | −2 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 524d |
| Julian Assange | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 524d |
| Elon Musk | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $1.25K | in 524d |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 10% | +5 pts | +4 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $1.22K | in 524d |
| Jimmy Lai | 6% | — | — | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 524d |
| Melania Trump | 4% | −9 pts | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | $161 | in 524d |
| Donald Trump | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $159 | in 524d |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 7% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $100 | in 524d |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 6% | — | — | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 524d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h |  sciuboi | Elon Musk | SellNo98¢ | $1,221 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 10h | sciuboi | International Criminal Court | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $5,866 | −$117 −2.0% | — |
| 10h | sciuboi | Doctors Without Borders | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $5,078 | −$84 −1.7% | — |
| 10h | sciuboi2 fills | António Guterres | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $6,285 | −$28 −0.5% | — |
| 10h | sciuboi | UNRWA | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $5,821 | −$116 −2.0% | — |
| 10h | sciuboi | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | SellNo95¢ → 91¢ | $7,130 | +$338 +4.7% | — |
| 1d | sciuboi | Greta Thunberg | SellNo98¢ | $2,281 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 1d |  Car2 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo93¢ | $2,358 | −$7 −0.3% | 25 |
| 2d | sciuboi | Yulia Navalnaya | BuyNo92¢ → 94¢ | $2,140 | +$53 +2.5% | 20 |
| 2d | sciuboi | Doctors Without Borders | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $7,000 | +$184 +2.6% | 23 |
| 2d | sciuboi | UNRWA | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $7,556 | +$232 +3.1% | 24 |
| 2d | sciuboi | International Criminal Court | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $8,000 | +$202 +2.5% | 23 |
| 2d | sciuboi | António Guterres | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $8,000 | +$123 +1.5% | 23 |
| 2d | sciuboi | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | BuyNo94¢ → 91¢ | $7,000 | −$209 −3.0% | 24 |
| 2d | sciuboi | Greta Thunberg | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $4,000 | +$64 +1.6% | 20 |
| 2d | sciuboi | Elon Musk | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $5,000 | +$70 +1.4% | 22 |
| 2d | meropi | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | SellNo94¢ → 93¢ | $4,710 | +$67 +1.4% | — |
| 2d | hfv | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyNo95¢ → 93¢ | $1,059 | −$28 −2.6% | 23 |
| 11d | h038596027355 | Donald Trump | BuyNo92¢ | $4,600 | −$25 −0.5% | 25 |
Digital-Boy152 sharessciuboi2,328 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly1,000 shares
Anjun555 shares
2B9S50 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for Yulia Navalnaya means the market gives it about 6%.