| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$4 +2.8% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Ends in 225d | Yes | 137 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $127 | +$27 +27% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 124 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $119 | +$19 +19% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 136 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $119 | +$18 +18% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 136 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $113 | +$3 +2.9% |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 113 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $112 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 113 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $111 | +$16 +17% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 117 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 143 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $110 | +$6 +5.4% |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 114 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $110 | +$5 +4.6% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 114 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $110 | +$4 +4.0% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 120 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $109 | +$9 +9.0% |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 113 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $108 | +$8 +8.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 120 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $107 | −$3 −2.7% |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 111 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 117 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $106 | +$6 +5.8% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 10h | No | 108 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.4% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.1% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 112 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 111 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$5 +5.4% |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 109 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $106 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 10h | Yes | 117 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $106 | +$5 +5.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 110 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 112 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 112 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $106 | +$8 +7.7% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 113 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $105 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $105 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 745d | No | 147 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $105 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $105 | +$17 +19% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 115 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $105 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Ends in 11d | Yes | 109 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $105 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $105 | +$7 +7.7% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $105 | +$5 +4.7% |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 111 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $105 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Ends in 274d | Yes | 113 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $105 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 114 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $104 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $104 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 112 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $104 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $104 | +$4 +3.6% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 115 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $103 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 107 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $103 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 114 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $102 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $102 | +$9 +9.1% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 10h | Yes | 143 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $102 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 113 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $102 | +$16 +19% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | Yes | 111 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $102 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $102 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $101 | +$7 +7.8% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $101 | +$3 +2.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 104 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $101 | +$7 +7.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $101 | +$10 +11% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $101 | +$10 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 110 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $101 | +$0 +0.4% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $101 | +$12 +14% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $101 | +$6 +6.0% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 103 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $101 | +$5 +5.3% |
| Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Ends in 105d | Yes | 114 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $101 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $101 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 108 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $101 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 112 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $100 | +$10 +10% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 111 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $100 | +$9 +9.7% |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 107 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $100 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 1d | No | 107 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $100 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $100 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $100 | +$14 +16% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 138 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $100 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Ends in 225d | No | 116 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $100 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 116 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $100 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $100 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $100 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 103 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $99 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $99 | +$9 +9.6% |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 107 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 110 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $99 | +$5 +5.0% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 84d | Yes | 144 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $99 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 102 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $99 | +$12 +14% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $98 | −$2 −1.6% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $98 | +$7 +7.5% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $98 | +$10 +12% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 106 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $98 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 10h | Yes | 99 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $98 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 103 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $98 | +$7 +7.3% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 104 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $97 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 68¢ → 89¢ | $97 | +$23 +30% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | Yes | 105 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $97 | −$3 −2.8% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$5 +5.0% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 101 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$7 +8.0% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 107 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $97 | −$4 −3.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 102 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $97 | +$18 +23% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 249d | Yes | 114 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $96 | −$3 −3.4% |
| Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $95 | −$5 −5.2% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $94 | −$6 −5.6% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 97 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $94 | +$8 +9.8% |
