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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $9.5K | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34m | 0xef97…ab2c | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $5,646 | −$7 −0.1% | 21 |
| 6d |  GoriIIa | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,181 | +$45 +3.8% | 22 |
| 19d | thoodr | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,135 | +$22 +1.0% | 21 |
DirkDiggler672,016 shares
MrNoItAll6,790 sharesGoriIIa1,238 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 1%.