| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 7,404 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $6,478 | +$838 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,055 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $1,942 | +$157 +8.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,063 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $1,570 | +$83 +5.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,666 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $1,516 | +$19 +1.3% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,560 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $1,427 | +$158 +12% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 2,524 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $1,262 | +$9 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 4,054 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $1,236 | +$44 +3.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,648 | 39¢ → 73¢ | $1,195 | +$547 +84% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,556 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $965 | −$33 −3.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,733 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $915 | +$77 +9.2% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 1,105 | 60¢ → 82¢ | $906 | +$239 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,010 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $662 | −$32 −4.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,333 | 52¢ → 49¢ | $646 | −$48 −6.9% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,023 | 32¢ → 54¢ | $547 | +$216 +65% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,228 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $522 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 716 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $483 | +$43 +9.9% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,784 | 66¢ → 24¢ | $428 | −$741 −63% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,470 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $419 | −$60 −12% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 694 | 77¢ → 60¢ | $417 | −$117 −22% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 94d | Yes | 938 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $413 | +$6 +1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 662 | 75¢ → 61¢ | $401 | −$96 −19% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 412 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $361 | +$5 +1.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 518 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $350 | −$6 −1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 859 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $348 | +$10 +2.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,015 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $330 | −$51 −13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 870 | 30¢ → 38¢ | $326 | +$66 +25% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 485 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $320 | +$118 +58% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 981 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $299 | +$31 +11% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 1,040 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $296 | +$62 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 350 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $289 | +$10 +3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 291 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $284 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,583 | 25¢ → 18¢ | $277 | −$119 −30% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 343 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $270 | +$7 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 360 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $259 | +$8 +3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 285 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $255 | +$6 +2.2% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 9d | No | 305 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $248 | −$10 −3.8% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 450 | 60¢ → 55¢ | $248 | −$21 −7.7% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 261 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $235 | +$7 +2.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 74d | Yes | 531 | 56¢ → 42¢ | $223 | −$72 −24% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | Yes | 7,646 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $218 | −$452 −67% |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $210 | +$17 +8.6% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 342 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $205 | −$41 −17% |
| Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 292 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $203 | +$23 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 500 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $188 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 9d | Yes | 230 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $187 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 652 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $186 | −$17 −8.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 365 | 53¢ → 49¢ | $177 | −$16 −8.5% |
| Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 186 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $172 | +$11 +6.8% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 16d | No | 347 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $170 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 221 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $170 | +$10 +6.2% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 181 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $159 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 784 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $153 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 401 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $150 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 149 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $149 | +$6 +4.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,698 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $148 | −$267 −64% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 222 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $147 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 474 | 54¢ → 31¢ | $145 | −$113 −44% |
| Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 184 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $144 | +$29 +25% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,050 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $142 | −$117 −45% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 316 | 39¢ → 45¢ | $141 | +$19 +16% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 152 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $133 | +$9 +7.1% |
| Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 177 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $122 | −$5 −4.0% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 136 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $120 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 130 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $107 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 122 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $106 | +$8 +8.3% |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 113 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $102 | +$11 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 110 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $98 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group StageEnds ended | mellren | 197 | 56¢ → 49¢ | $96 | −$13 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 285 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $87 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $85 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 483 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $85 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 202 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $84 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 106 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $81 | −$7 −8.2% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 334 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $80 | +$9 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 157 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $79 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 76 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $75 | +$4 +6.1% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 92 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $73 | +$13 +21% |
| Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | No | 76 | 54¢ → 97¢ | $73 | +$32 +79% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 118 | 57¢ → 61¢ | $71 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $71 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,054 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $71 | −$49 −41% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 504 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $71 | +$17 +31% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 75 | 38¢ → 94¢ | $71 | +$42 +147% |
| Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 228 | 44¢ → 31¢ | $70 | −$30 −30% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 720 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $68 | +$17 +33% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 156 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $68 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 74d | Yes | 371 | 30¢ → 18¢ | $67 | −$44 −40% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 74d | Yes | 472 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $66 | −$17 −20% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 262 | 43¢ → 25¢ | $65 | −$46 −41% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 94d | Yes | 314 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $64 | +$25 +63% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 253 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $64 | +$6 +9.5% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 82 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $64 | +$5 +9.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 431 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $63 | +$23 +57% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 317 | 30¢ → 20¢ | $62 | −$34 −36% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 93 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $62 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 205 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $56 | +$5 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 256 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $55 | +$3 +5.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 100 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 56 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 100 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$2 −2.9% |
