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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenia Valles Sampedro | 68% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 66¢ · 70¢ (4¢) | — | in 226d |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 18% | −6 pts | +3 pts | 15¢ · 21¢ (6¢) | — | in 226d |
| Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez | 7% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 13¢ (12¢) | — | in 226d |
| Javier Lamarque Cano | 4% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 226d |
| Natalia Rivera Grijalva | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Ernesto Gándara Camou | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Damián Zepeda Vidales | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Lilly Téllez García | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Manuel Scott Sánchez | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Froylán Gámez Gamboa | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Omar del Valle Colosio | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Rogelio Díaz Brown | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Víctor Hugo Celaya | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Célida Teresa López Cárdenas | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| María Dolores del Río Sánchez | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Heriberto Aguilar Castillo | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Guadalupe María Soto | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| Patricia Mercado Castro | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 226d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58d | balabalababalabala | Lorenia Valles Sampedro | SellNo58¢ → 32¢ | $1,184 | +$529 +45% | — |
FrozenParasite3,115 shares
Blue-Horseshoe540 shares
Rr55100 shares
LornaPredicts48 shares
Haradwaith205 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 68¢ for Lorenia Valles Sampedro means the market gives it about 68%.