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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Lasher | 100% | +29 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Schlossberg | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Kasky | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Bores | 0% | −29 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lina Khan | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erik Bottcher | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julie Menin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carolyn Maloney | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chelsea Clinton | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Cuomo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Elkind | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brad Hoylman-Sigal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scott Stringer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keith Powers | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liz Krueger | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gale Brewer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cynthia Nixon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brad Lander | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Conway | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122d | 11122 | Micah Lasher | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,981 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 122d | SpecialoneN | Micah Lasher | SellYes>99¢ | $1,494 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 122d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Micah Lasher | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,139 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 122d | KiernanMeister | Alex Bores | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,171 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 122d |  Bperil | Micah Lasher | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 122d | kangkang123 | Micah Lasher | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,445 | −$163 −3.7% | — |
| 122d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac84 fills | Micah Lasher | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $35,164 | +$16,045 +46% | 18 |
| 122d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac82 fills | Alex Bores | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $8,867 | +$2,782 +31% | 10 |
| 122d |  twinna | Alex Bores | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 11 |
| 122d | e46m32 fills | Alex Bores | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$838 +35% | 10 |
| 122d | mm4ker | Micah Lasher | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,007 +34% | 10 |
| 122d | Melody6262 fills | Alex Bores | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,356 | +$1,576 +47% | 20 |
| 122d | e46m3 | Jack Schlossberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 122d |  LiquidatedDegen | Alex Bores | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 11 |
| 122d | wan1232 fills | Alex Bores | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $4,515 | −$4,515 −100% | 17 |
| 122d | donthackme | Jack Schlossberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,569 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 122d |  Obamnna | Micah Lasher | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | −$832 −37% | — |
| 122d | Melody6262 fills | Micah Lasher | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,784 | +$2,018 +42% | 20 |
| 123d | kangkang1232 fills | Micah Lasher | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$1,059 +34% | 10 |
| 123d | coali10 | Alex Bores | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,395 | −$2,395 −100% | 13 |
| 123d | coali10 | Micah Lasher | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $3,680 | −$3,680 −100% | 14 |
| 123d |  Erasmus. | Micah Lasher | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $4,708 | +$2,216 +47% | 20 |
| 123d | 0xcb14…bd17 | Micah Lasher | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$1,292 +52% | 20 |
| 124d | oliman2 | Micah Lasher | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$1,003 +50% | 18 |
| 124d | coali106 fills | Micah Lasher | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $19,025 | +$15,389 +81% | 12 |
| 126d | AiBird | Alex Bores | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,879 | −$1,521 −81% | — |
| 126d | coali102 fills | Alex Bores | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $2,780 | +$2,219 +80% | 12 |
| 126d | wan123 | Micah Lasher | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,795 | −$1,795 −100% | 13 |
| 127d | 369-369 | Micah Lasher | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$720 +56% | 12 |
| 129d | uotou | Alex Bores | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | +$1,360 +100% | — |
| 129d | AiBird | Alex Bores | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$1,700 +52% | 12 |
| 131d | prime95 | Liz Krueger | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 211d | SkylerJensen | Liz Krueger | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 211d | SkylerJensen | Liz Krueger | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$19 +1.6% | 10 |
| 212d | Best-Mainland | Julie Menin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,533 | +$39 +1.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Scientific-Refuse | Julie Menin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,528 | +$39 +1.1% | 10 |
| 212d | Rough-Folder | Julie Menin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,522 | +$39 +1.1% | 10 |
Brokie8,072 shares
FridayNight1,200 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Micah Lasher means the market gives it about 100%.