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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 0% | −3 pts | −18 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | +75 pts | +81 pts | 92¢ · 95¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 100% | +49 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 100% | 0 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lula da Silva | 100% | +55 pts | +20 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kim Jong Un | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Merz | 100% | +3 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Corina Machado | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 100% | +2 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Rutte | 100% | +2 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Reza Pahlavi | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Carney | 100% | +5 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,299 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 111d | NeoOracle2 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,992 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 111d |  x.o | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 112d |  ZamamiTurtle | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,818 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 112d |  Rex4163 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,998 | +$104 +0.7% | 4 |
| 112d | Trustinghorse4 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $28,176 | +$539 +1.9% | 4 |
| 112d | Spiffy-Hold | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,435 | +$90 +2.0% | 4 |
| 113d |  ImJustKen | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $11,485 | +$5,091 +44% | 4 |
| 113d |  MisTKy | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$2,091 +104% | 4 |
| 113d |  ScottyNooo5 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $20,551 | −$20,551 −100% | 4 |
| 113d | wwwweather | Ahmed al-Sharaa | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$45 −3.1% | — |
| 113d | BwTrump | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,914 | −$1,914 −100% | 8 |
| 113d |  Trading4Fridge | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$104 +9.9% | 4 |
| 113d |  ZorroDeLaVega2 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,536 | +$1,148 +25% | 4 |
| 113d | x.o | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 113d | NeoOracle2 fills | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,983 | +$77 +1.3% | 4 |
| 113d | Trading4Fridge | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$53 +5.2% | 4 |
| 113d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | +$190 +12% | 4 |
| 113d |  HeDidWearASuit | Mohammed bin Salman | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$269 −16% | — |
| 113d | Unfinished-July | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$212 +11% | 4 |
| 115d |  anotherpatrick3 fills | Mohammed bin Salman | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $13,153 | −$13,153 −100% | 4 |
| 116d | 0xbF4d202382 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$145 +8.7% | 6 |
| 118d | presidenttrumpfan2 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$760 +18% | 5 |
| 118d | anotherpatrick3 fills | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,043 | +$1,440 +24% | 4 |
| 120d | 0xbF4d202382 | Xi Jinping | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | −$91 −6.4% | — |
| 124d | 0xbF4d202382 | Xi Jinping | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$164 +11% | 4 |
| 125d |  DREAMBIG. | Elon Musk | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$205 −17% | — |
| 127d | nonkenny902 fills | Kim Jong Un | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,336 | +$101 +4.3% | 4 |
| 128d | Extra-Small-Weapon | Lula da Silva | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,824 | +$24 +0.3% | 4 |
| 128d | Natsan | Lula da Silva | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$71 −7.0% | — |
| 128d | Natsan | Lula da Silva | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$56 +2.8% | 4 |
| 129d |  aenews2 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | −$1,161 −100% | 5 |
| 129d |  MrNoItAll2 fills | Ursula von der Leyen | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,830 | +$274 +4.7% | 4 |
| 129d | MrNoItAll2 fills | Keir Starmer | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,910 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | MrNoItAll2 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,005 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | MrNoItAll2 fills | Friedrich Merz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,365 | +$53 +0.5% | 4 |
| 130d |  EA-SY | Friedrich Merz | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$21 +1.5% | 4 |
| 130d |  Car3 fills | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 130d |  Robbb | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,454 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 131d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,194 | +$47 +0.5% | 4 |
| 131d | thcdmz | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,610 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 131d |  WarriorPooh | Vladimir Putin | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,216 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 131d | Car | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 4 |
| 131d |  Newsance4 fills | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $9,595 | +$1,397 +15% | 4 |
| 131d | WarriorPooh | Vladimir Putin | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$241 +14% | 4 |
| 132d | bear-bees | Yoon Suk Yeol | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 132d | Robbb | Ahmed al-Sharaa | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | +$1,181 +100% | — |
| 132d | Robbb | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,611 | −$2,611 −100% | 4 |
| 133d | Rex416 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 4 |
| 142d |  Filobestia | Emmanuel Macron | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$44 +2.6% | 4 |
| 142d |  iutwpfal | Reza Pahlavi | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$87 +7.5% | 4 |
| 143d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yoon Suk Yeol | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
zzzfff1,300 shares
EmeraldEdge1,043 shares
GodRama552 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ahmed al-Sharaa means the market gives it about 0%.