| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | Yes | 104 | 58¢ → 45¢ | $46 | −$14 −23% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,324 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $46 | −$224 −83% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 24 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $19 | −$1 −4.8% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 26d | Yes | 170 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$15 −72% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$7 −66% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 248 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 302 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 128 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 136 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 195 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 177 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 197 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 217 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 122 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 131 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,411 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 707 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$229 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 900 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 172 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 110 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 152 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 270 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 219 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |