| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 194 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 540 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 656 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 120 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will between 310 and 319 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,230 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?Settled - ready to redeem | No Change | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 184 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 165 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 178 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,221 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$361 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 284 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 274 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 421 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$253 −100% |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 16 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionSettled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 15 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lot 4 Vincent van Gogh’s “Le Semeur dans un champ de blé au soleil couchant” sell for 9m or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Google reach $355 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 13 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Lot 8 Gustav Klimt’s “Bildnis Elisabeth Lederer (Portrait of Elisabeth Lederer)” sell for 150m or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lot 5 Henri Matisse’s “La Serpentine” sell for 10m or more?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
