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Polymarket wallet 0x30f7a3317993261ddc541bdd4473ed279ca8dc13 · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2024 · also shown as Ample-Kneejerk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | No | 55 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $44 | +$16 +60% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | No | 25 | 50¢ → 85¢ | $21 | +$9 +69% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | No | 25 | 50¢ → 82¢ | $21 | +$8 +65% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 55 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $11 | −$16 −60% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$8 −65% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 15¢ | $4 | −$9 −69% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SellNo2¢ | $0 |
| 61d | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BuyNo98¢ | $103 |
| 73d | Ethereum Up or Down on August 10? | BuyDown95¢ | $100 |
| 90d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown98¢ | $89 |
| 90d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BuyDown98¢ | $9 |
| 91d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | SellDown95¢ | $91 |
| 91d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | SellDown95¢ | $5 |
| 91d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | SellDown95¢ | $5 |
| 91d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23? | BuyDown94¢ | $100 |
| 95d | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Buy20¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Buy26¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Buy12¢ | $2 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | Buy45¢ | $5 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | Buy31¢ | $5 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Buy24¢ | $5 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | Buy32¢ | $5 |
| 96d | Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs David Jorda Sanchis AND Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko | Buy2¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs David Jorda Sanchis AND Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko AND Estoril Open, Qualification: Francisco Rocha vs Gonzalo Bueno | Buy1¢ | $1 |
| 98d | Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone AND Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys | Sell8¢ | $1 |
| 98d | Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone AND Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys | Buy7¢ | $1 |
| 99d | England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 AND Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Buy22¢ | $5 |
| 103d | Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11? | Buy17¢ | $20 |
| 106d | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 AND France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Buy58¢ | $18 |
| 106d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? | BuyDown97¢ | $78 |
| 106d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? | BuyDown97¢ | $33 |
| 106d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyDown96¢ | $25 |
| 106d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyDown96¢ | $5 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes90¢ | $18 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes87¢ | $9 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes87¢ | $9 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes88¢ | $16 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes87¢ | $7 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes87¢ | $17 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes86¢ | $13 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes87¢ | $9 |
| 114d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5? | BuyYes88¢ | $18 |
| 131d | ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan | BuyIndia90¢ | $6 |
| 131d | ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan | BuyIndia91¢ | $18 |
| 131d | ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan | BuyIndia92¢ | $18 |
| 131d | ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan | BuyIndia92¢ | $46 |
| 132d | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? | BuyNo87¢ | $13 |
| 132d | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? | BuyNo87¢ | $5 |
| 135d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET | BuyDown97¢ | $68 |
| 135d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET | BuyDown91¢ | $9 |
| 135d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET | BuyDown91¢ | $9 |
| 135d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown94¢ | $9 |
| 135d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $5 |
| 141d | BNB Up or Down on June 3? | BuyDown99¢ | $102 |
| 147d | BNB Up or Down on May 28? | BuyDown98¢ | $100 |
| 153d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BuyDown99¢ | $99 |
| 159d | Solana Up or Down on May 16? | BuyDown99¢ | $90 |
| 160d | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? | BuyDown99¢ | $61 |
| 163d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp88¢ | $5 |
| 163d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BuyUp92¢ | $5 |
| 168d | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10? | BuyNo99¢ | $65 |
| 168d | Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $63 |
| 188d | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19? | BuyNo98¢ | $39 |
| 188d | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19? | BuyNo98¢ | $25 |
| 193d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | SellYes51¢ | $66 |
| 197d | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BuyYes75¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.