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Polymarket wallet 0x4727000d08134c20086b078d20256a3363d25aa5 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Vapid-Misrepresentation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 2,979 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $2,952 | +$152 +5.4% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,823 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,745 | +$38 +1.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,539 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $2,324 | −$38 −1.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2,145 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $2,087 | +$242 +13% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,105 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,075 | +$75 +3.7% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.