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Polymarket wallet 0x4aa385258f5783b4d056b550c89ef7b33cfc11ce · on Polymarket since Jul 19, 2026 · also shown as Ironclad-Sleeping-Insurance

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $786
All-time profit: +$1.02K
Volume traded: $1.13M
All-time rank: #80,486
Markets traded: 15,186
Recent hit rate: 96%48 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $401

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 33¢	$99	+$98 +10901%
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	172	<1¢ → 32¢	$55	+$54 +10550%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	17	<1¢ → 33¢	$6	+$5 +10883%
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 69d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 3¢	$5	+$4 +525%
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?Ends in 1d	Yes	66	<1¢ → 7¢	$5	+$5 +2334%
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on October 26?Ends in 2d	Yes	800	<1¢ → 1¢	$4	+$4 +450%
Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d	Yes	117	<1¢ → 4¢	$4	+$4 +838%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $150 on October 25?Ends in 1d	Yes	800	<1¢ → 1¢	$4	+$3 +400%
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 25?Ends in 1d	Yes	800	<1¢ → 1¢	$4	+$3 +400%
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on October 25?Ends in 1d	Yes	800	<1¢ → 1¢	$4	+$3 +400%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $150 on October 26?Ends in 2d	Yes	800	<1¢ → 1¢	$4	+$3 +400%
Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?Ends in 10d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 3¢	$4	+$3 +900%
Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d	Yes	162	<1¢ → 2¢	$4	+$3 +450%
Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d	Yes	60	<1¢ → 6¢	$3	+$3 +1325%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$3 +613%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d	Yes	60	<1¢ → 6¢	$3	+$3 +1767%
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 55d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$3 +800%
Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +300%
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Ends in 36d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +300%
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +300%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	60	<1¢ → 5¢	$3	+$3 +1650%
Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +250%
Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +250%
Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?Ends in 4d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +250%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 7d	Yes	196	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +300%
Will "Crimson Desert" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d	Yes	132	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$3 +1075%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +288%
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	79	<1¢ → 4¢	$3	+$3 +1184%
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d	Yes	112	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$3 +800%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +233%
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +233%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d	Yes	174	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +313%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +683%
Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire?Ends in 10d	Yes	180	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +287%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d	Yes	170	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +433%
Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d	Yes	93	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$2 +867%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	180	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +400%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?Ends in 11d	Yes	101	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$2 +783%
Will "Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d	Yes	237	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +175%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	158	<1¢ → 2¢	$3	+$2 +312%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +225%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +183%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on October 25?Ends in 1d	Yes	503	<1¢ → 1¢	$3	+$2 +400%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?Ends in 226d	Yes	97	<1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$2 +767%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	Yes	46	<1¢ → 5¢	$3	+$2 +1700%
Will BNB reach $1,100 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	227	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +1000%
Will Solana reach $180 October 19-25?Ends in 2d	Yes	800	<1¢ → <1¢	$2	+$2 +200%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.50T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d	Yes	143	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +313%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +550%
Will Solana dip to $40 October 19-25?Ends in 2d	Yes	777	<1¢ → <1¢	$2	+$2 +200%
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 8h	Yes	219	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +250%
Plague pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +517%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d	Yes	114	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +387%
Will Robert Downey Jr. be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 68d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	199	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will Republicans sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d	Yes	117	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +517%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	196	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d	Yes	196	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +267%
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Italy?Ends in 434d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$2 +250%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	130	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +417%
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth <1%?Ends in 26d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +233%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Ends ended	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +233%
Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	800	<1¢ → <1¢	$2	+$1 +150%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d	Yes	77	<1¢ → 3¢	$2	+$2 +767%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +450%
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 1% and 2%?Ends in 31d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +450%
Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 global unit case volume growth 5.5% to 6.5%?Ends in 3d	Yes	32	<1¢ → 6¢	$2	+$2 +1425%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d	Yes	114	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$1 +325%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 11d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +433%
Will Vox win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	174	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +217%
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?Ends in 13d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +217%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?Ends ended	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +217%
Will The Black Ball win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d	Yes	126	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$1 +275%
Will Blue and White win 1.25-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d	Yes	198	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +138%
Marco Rubio 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Ends in 37d	Yes	113	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$2 +450%
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	159	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +283%
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +100%
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +200%
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 159d	Yes	109	<1¢ → 2¢	$2	+$1 +312%
Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	159	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d	Yes	155	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?Ends in 226d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +183%
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +183%
Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d	Yes	200	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +183%
Will Tatyana Ali win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d	Yes	153	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d	Yes	144	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +187%
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +83%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 226d	Yes	48	<1¢ → 3¢	$2	+$1 +750%
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?Ends in 88d	Yes	167	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +217%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d	Yes	138	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +283%
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?Ends in 226d	Yes	141	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Ends in 10d	Yes	45	<1¢ → 3¢	$2	+$1 +762%
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 59.0 in October?Ends in 9d	Yes	140	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +267%
Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Ends in 275d	Yes	127	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +300%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?Ends in 2d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +150%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d	Yes	120	<1¢ → 1¢	$2	+$1 +317%
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d	Yes	300	<1¢ → 1¢	$1	+$1 +67%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1m	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1m	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2m	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 50% or more?	SellYes1¢	$0
2m	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes2¢	$0
2m	Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?	SellYes1¢	$0
4m	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
4m	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
6m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October?	SellYes1¢	$0
6m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October?	SellYes1¢	$0
8m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
8m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
8m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
8m	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
10m	Will "TYSON: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
14m	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
14m	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
15m	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
20m	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
20m	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election?	SellYes2¢	$1
23m	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 24?	SellYes1¢	$1
31m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
33m	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
45m	Will Werwulf win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
45m	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
49m	Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
53m	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	SellYes6¢	$0
53m	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	SellYes3¢	$0
54m	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	SellYes3¢	$0
54m	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	SellYes3¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "TYSON: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "TYSON: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "TYSON: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "TYSON: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
55m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
56m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
56m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
57m	Will "Instadocs: AI Gone Wild" be the top global Netflix show this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
1h	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will "Primate" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will "Primate" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will "Primate" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 28, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
1h	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 22, 2026?	BuyYes<1¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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