| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 880 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $734 | +$40 +5.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 599 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $446 | +$3 +0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 625 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $422 | +$22 +5.5% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 510 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $375 | +$26 +7.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 628 | 53¢ → 60¢ | $374 | +$44 +13% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 480 | 37¢ → 77¢ | $367 | +$190 +107% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 427 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $348 | −$15 −4.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 434 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $319 | +$23 +7.8% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 411 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $306 | +$6 +2.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 188 | 31¢ → 92¢ | $172 | +$113 +192% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 40¢ → 84¢ | $126 | +$66 +110% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 261 | 71¢ → 34¢ | $88 | −$96 −52% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 291 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $86 | −$4 −4.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 189 | 34¢ → 40¢ | $75 | +$10 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 95 | 54¢ → 75¢ | $70 | +$19 +38% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 69d | Yes | 812 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $61 | −$73 −54% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | No | 68 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $57 | +$14 +33% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 271 | 16¢ → 21¢ | $56 | +$13 +32% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 96 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 102 | 15¢ → 41¢ | $41 | +$26 +170% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 29¢ → 78¢ | $37 | +$23 +172% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $34 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 272 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $29 | −$5 −14% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 81 | 16¢ → 35¢ | $28 | +$15 +119% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 31 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $27 | +$6 +29% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 357 | 43¢ → 8¢ | $27 | −$128 −83% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 75 | 16¢ → 35¢ | $26 | +$14 +119% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $26 | +$2 +7.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 30 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $25 | +$3 +14% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 37 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $22 | −$2 −9.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 62¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$4 −15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 74 | 34¢ → 22¢ | $16 | −$9 −35% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 173 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$7 −30% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 80 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$7 −36% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 13 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $11 | +$3 +34% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 23¢ → 56¢ | $11 | +$7 +145% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 155 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $10 | −$3 −25% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 93 | 41¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$31 −79% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 23¢ → 82¢ | $7 | +$5 +254% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 25 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 9 | 59¢ → 60¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,389 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$21 −82% |
| USMCA extended in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$1 −18% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 95 | 36¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$31 −90% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 29¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$3 −48% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$5 −64% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 403 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −75% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 72 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$12 −90% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 17 | 35¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$5 −81% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 403 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 403 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −71% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 9 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −62% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 403 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −96% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 403 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −94% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Philadelphia 76ersSettled - ready to redeem | Philadelphia 76ers | 20 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 85 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 64 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| ITF Louisville: Joshua Peck vs William JansenSettled - ready to redeem | Joshua Peck | 12 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| ITF Krsko: Tea Kovacevic vs Alja SenicaSettled - ready to redeem | Tea Kovacevic | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| ITF Dallas: Yexin Ma vs Theadora RabmanSettled - ready to redeem | Theadora Rabman | 77 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 110 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 178 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
