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Polymarket wallet 0x6fd568fd6193e3c04e33e95e9cb032ceb240ac11 · on Polymarket since Jul 31, 2024 · also shown as Funny-Tambourine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$10 +41% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 83 | 60¢ → 42¢ | $35 | −$15 −31% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | No | 40 | 63¢ → 87¢ | $34 | +$9 +37% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $27 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 104 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$22 −88% |
| Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 26 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.