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Polymarket wallet 0x94d75c49fdf6a51319c990c524d3d80646fdf795 · on Polymarket since Oct 7, 2024 · also shown as Fluid-Half
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 151 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.