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Polymarket wallet 0x9ec115d8dc643f63c7b07fb22ee04b725e620e41 · on Polymarket since Nov 19, 2024 · also shown as Unnatural-Toffee
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $26 | +$6 +32% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$7 +61% |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 632d | Will TikTok be banned again before May? | BuyNo76¢ | $20 |
| 649d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyYes91¢ | $18 |
| 649d | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BuyYes99¢ | $15 |
| 684d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BuyNo77¢ | $13 |
| 684d | 30m Bluesky users in December? | BuyNo71¢ | $10 |
| 684d | Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
| 689d | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes61¢ | $8 |
| 689d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 689d | Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | BuyYes15¢ | $10 |
| 697d | Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22? | BuyYes81¢ | $15 |
| 697d | Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 697d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo62¢ | $12 |
| 697d | Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? | BuyAlaska18¢ | $5 |
| 697d | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
| 697d | SpaceX Starship launch today? | BuyYes96¢ | $5 |
| 697d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.