Crabsoup92

Polymarket wallet 0xa15655c43a7e4b50190d1f14198e80da86a1cf02 · on Polymarket since May 15, 2026 · also shown as Celebrated-Spine

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $8.33K
All-time profit: +$3.6K
Volume traded: $227K
All-time rank: #33,337
Markets traded: 438
Recent hit rate: 30%15 of last 50 closed

Open positions

24 markets · $8.13K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d	Yes	3,836	71¢ → 98¢	$3,770	+$1,061 +39%
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d	Yes	3,200	31¢ → 34¢	$1,072	+$80 +8.1%
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?Ends in 1d	Yes	906	74¢ → 87¢	$783	+$114 +17%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	914	83¢ → 86¢	$781	+$26 +3.4%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Ends in 18d	No	440	83¢ → 91¢	$401	+$37 +10%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d	Yes	2,089	6¢ → 14¢	$295	+$170 +137%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Ends in 1d	Yes	518	23¢ → 54¢	$277	+$159 +134%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ends in 1d	Yes	600	23¢ → 40¢	$241	+$104 +75%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Ends in 1d	Yes	575	16¢ → 23¢	$132	+$38 +41%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	623	21¢ → 13¢	$82	−$52 −39%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	79	25¢ → 63¢	$50	+$30 +157%
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Ends in 1d	Yes	380	29¢ → 13¢	$49	−$59 −55%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	500	6¢ → 9¢	$43	+$13 +42%
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	100	50¢ → 29¢	$29	−$21 −42%
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Ends in 159d	Yes	40	77¢ → 68¢	$27	−$4 −12%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d	Yes	100	14¢ → 25¢	$25	+$11 +75%
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Ends in 1d	Yes	395	7¢ → 5¢	$21	−$6 −21%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	No	70	33¢ → 24¢	$17	−$7 −29%
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	50	30¢ → 28¢	$14	−$1 −5.0%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?Ends in 1d	Yes	395	16¢ → 2¢	$8	−$57 −88%
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?Ends in 1d	Yes	200	8¢ → 3¢	$6	−$11 −66%
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 1d	Yes	102	2¢ → 3¢	$3	+$1 +57%
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?Ends in 38d	Yes	17	10¢ → 17¢	$3	+$1 +70%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $11M and $14M?	SellYes9¢	$4
4h	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy32¢	$25
4h	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy8¢	$10
4h	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy4¢	$10
4h	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage AND LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Buy5¢	$10
6h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	BuyYes1¢	$0
7h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	BuyYes1¢	$0
7h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	BuyYes1¢	$0
7h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	BuyYes1¢	$0
8h	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	BuyYes10¢	$1
8h	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	BuyYes10¢	$1
8h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes1¢	$1
8h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes7¢	$7
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes9¢	$9
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$0
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$1
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$2
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$1
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$1
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$1
9h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes7¢	$1
12h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	BuyYes1¢	$1
12h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes21¢	$10
12h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes5¢	$5
12h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes21¢	$11
17h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes24¢	$5
17h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes24¢	$7
17h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes10¢	$1
17h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes10¢	$6
17h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes10¢	$8
17h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes10¢	$1
17h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes10¢	$3
18h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes25¢	$5
18h	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes8¢	$11
18h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	BuyYes10¢	$1
18h	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	BuyYes10¢	$1
20h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes66¢	$20
21h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes23¢	$127
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$27
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$121
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes75¢	$24
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes75¢	$101
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes75¢	$15
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes75¢	$6
23h	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes75¢	$4
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes15¢	$2
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes15¢	$1
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes25¢	$20
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes22¢	$8
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes25¢	$54
1d	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$3
1d	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$5
1d	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$7
1d	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	BuyYes74¢	$337
1d	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes95¢	$954
1d	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?	BuyNo83¢	$363
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	BuyYes25¢	$17
1d	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	BuyYes23¢	$68
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes20¢	$3
1d	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	BuyYes24¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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