| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$1 +11% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $11 | +$2 +27% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 12¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$7 +621% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 7 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$1 +9.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +18% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 12 | 35¢ → 48¢ | $6 | +$2 +37% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 40¢ → 72¢ | $6 | +$3 +80% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 76¢ → 46¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 40¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$3 +143% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$2 +69% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +42% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 44¢ → 91¢ | $4 | +$2 +107% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$3 +156% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$1 +35% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 76¢ | $4 | +$2 +170% |
| Benedict Wong as Wong?Ends in 250d | Yes | 5 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 43¢ → 65¢ | $4 | +$1 +52% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 5 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$1 +20% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 66¢ | $3 | +$1 +46% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 5 | 74¢ → 60¢ | $3 | −$1 −20% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 51¢ → 55¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?Ends in 68d | Girl | 5 | 49¢ → 49¢ | $3 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 46¢ | $2 | +$1 +70% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 44¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5 | 24¢ → 39¢ | $2 | +$1 +60% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 78¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$5 −71% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $2 | +$1 +40% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $1 | +$0 +38% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 46¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$1 −41% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 66¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$2 −73% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 60¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +47% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 51¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$2 −70% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$2 −76% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 106d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 59¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 36¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −71% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 49¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$2 −84% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −69% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 63¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$4 −95% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −78% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-07-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-07-22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2026-08-08?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Londrina EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bay FC vs. Kansas City Current end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-06?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will FK Krasnodar vs. FK Akron Tolyatti end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
