StanGrossman

Polymarket wallet 0xaf353d5c352e0e338cad96345d8fab34dce19a45 · on Polymarket since Jun 17, 2025 · also shown as Married-Shop

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1.18K
All-time profit: +$9.53K
Volume traded: $524K
All-time rank: #15,673
Markets traded: 772
Recent hit rate: 56%28 of last 50 closed

Open positions

35 markets · $1.18K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,588	9¢ → 17¢	$262	+$119 +83%
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	662	9¢ → 31¢	$202	+$141 +232%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,398	24¢ → 7¢	$91	−$239 −72%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	350	18¢ → 24¢	$84	+$21 +33%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	506	11¢ → 14¢	$73	+$16 +27%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d	Yes	600	7¢ → 9¢	$51	+$9 +21%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 70d	No	50	18¢ → 87¢	$44	+$35 +383%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	250	20¢ → 15¢	$38	−$11 −22%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d	Yes	1,225	4¢ → 3¢	$36	−$13 −26%
US recession by end of 2027?Ends in 433d	Yes	100	34¢ → 35¢	$35	+$1 +2.9%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d	Yes	158	17¢ → 22¢	$34	+$8 +30%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d	Yes	40	23¢ → 72¢	$28	+$19 +211%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	479	11¢ → 5¢	$24	−$26 −52%
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 218d	Yes	163	13¢ → 15¢	$24	+$3 +13%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	100	19¢ → 20¢	$19	+$0 +2.6%
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 159d	Yes	411	2¢ → 4¢	$18	+$8 +79%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	400	12¢ → 4¢	$16	−$34 −68%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d	Yes	500	2¢ → 3¢	$15	+$6 +64%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	117	20¢ → 10¢	$12	−$11 −48%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 8d	Yes	211	3¢ → 5¢	$10	+$5 +90%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 8d	Yes	145	5¢ → 7¢	$10	+$3 +51%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	150	25¢ → 7¢	$10	−$28 −74%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	100	9¢ → 10¢	$10	+$1 +5.6%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	312	6¢ → 3¢	$8	−$12 −58%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	2,000	1¢ → <1¢	$7	−$9 −56%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	100	32¢ → 7¢	$7	−$26 −80%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d	Yes	55	11¢ → 8¢	$4	−$2 −27%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	Yes	200	8¢ → 2¢	$4	−$12 −75%
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d	Yes	15	5¢ → 17¢	$3	+$2 +248%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Ends in 4d	No	22	14¢ → 10¢	$2	−$1 −34%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	29	3¢ → 5¢	$1	+$1 +60%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	2	29¢ → 32¢	$0	+$0 +10%
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d	Yes	35	<1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +1251%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d	Yes	100	12¢ → <1¢	$0	−$12 −96%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	7	9¢ → <1¢	$0	−$1 −95%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1h	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	SellYes1¢	$0
1h	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	SellYes1¢	$3
2h	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	SellYes5¢	$18
2h	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	SellYes4¢	$8
2h	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	SellYes4¢	$8
3h	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	BuyYes5¢	$10
5h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	SellYes19¢	$2
6h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	SellYes20¢	$20
6h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	SellYes19¢	$19
6h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	SellYes20¢	$20
6h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	SellYes19¢	$19
6h	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	BuyYes9¢	$180
1d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	BuyYes6¢	$18
1d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	BuyNo13¢	$0
1d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	BuyNo14¢	$1
2d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	BuyNo15¢	$2
3d	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$0
3d	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	BuyYes13¢	$17
3d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	SellYes30¢	$1
3d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?	SellYes6¢	$1
3d	Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	SellYes<1¢	$1
3d	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	SellYes<1¢	$0
4d	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	BuyYes13¢	$4
4d	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$16
4d	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$16
4d	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	BuyYes9¢	$9
5d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	SellYes49¢	$25
5d	Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? AND Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?	Buy1¢	$1
5d	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	BuyYes13¢	$13
6d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	SellYes16¢	$25
6d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$3
6d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	BuyYes5¢	$0
6d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	BuyYes5¢	$5
6d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$1
6d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$15
7d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	BuyYes5¢	$2
7d	Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
7d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes59¢	$30
7d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	SellYes14¢	$31
7d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	SellYes18¢	$2
7d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	SellYes17¢	$2
7d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	SellYes32¢	$16
7d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes<1¢	$0
7d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	SellYes74¢	$25
7d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	BuyYes8¢	$37
8d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	SellYes49¢	$49
8d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes56¢	$28
8d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in October?	BuyYes14¢	$42
8d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	BuyYes18¢	$90
9d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	SellYes62¢	$14
9d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	SellYes62¢	$4
9d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	SellYes62¢	$2
9d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes41¢	$41
11d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	SellYes7¢	$14
11d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes44¢	$9
11d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	SellYes44¢	$13
12d	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	BuyYes9¢	$9
13d	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	SellYes7¢	$3
13d	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1
13d	Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes3¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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