polikstoproc

Polymarket wallet 0xb0166729b4fb7b50ed973a066cc1ad6466ff95fd · on Polymarket since Sep 23, 2026 · also shown as Prudent-Going-Velvet

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $261
All-time profit: −$24.9
Volume traded: $6.08K
All-time rank: #2,205,723
Markets traded: 79
Recent hit rate: 46%18 of last 39 closed

Open positions

44 markets · $261

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 3d	No	24	83¢ → 79¢	$19	−$1 −5.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 1d	No	20	88¢ → 94¢	$19	+$1 +6.5%
Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?Ends in 3d	No	23	77¢ → 71¢	$16	−$1 −7.8%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d	Yes	175	11¢ → 8¢	$14	−$6 −31%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d	Yes	14	85¢ → 95¢	$13	+$1 +11%
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 10d	Yes	42	32¢ → 29¢	$12	−$1 −8.3%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	36	42¢ → 32¢	$11	−$4 −25%
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?Ends in 6d	No	32	36¢ → 35¢	$11	−$0 −4.2%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 10d	Yes	33	31¢ → 32¢	$11	+$0 +2.4%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 6d	No	16	78¢ → 64¢	$10	−$2 −19%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d	No	12	85¢ → 86¢	$10	+$0 +0.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 7d	No	10	90¢ → 95¢	$10	+$1 +5.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 10d	No	12	79¢ → 79¢	$10	−$0 −0.6%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Ends in 10d	Yes	12	83¢ → 82¢	$9	−$0 −1.2%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 9d	No	11	73¢ → 80¢	$9	+$1 +9.6%
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d	No	13	78¢ → 69¢	$9	−$1 −12%
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 10d	No	12	72¢ → 67¢	$8	−$1 −7.2%
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Ends in 9d	Yes	15	57¢ → 56¢	$8	−$0 −2.6%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?Ends in 6h	No	20	62¢ → 31¢	$6	−$6 −51%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d	Yes	28	26¢ → 21¢	$6	−$1 −20%
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Ends ended	No	38	39¢ → 14¢	$5	−$10 −65%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d	No	5	87¢ → 95¢	$5	+$0 +8.6%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 10d	No	29	30¢ → 14¢	$4	−$4 −52%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Ends in 10d	Yes	30	25¢ → 14¢	$4	−$3 −45%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 10d	Yes	10	39¢ → 40¢	$4	+$0 +1.3%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d	Yes	42	50¢ → 9¢	$4	−$18 −83%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	5	62¢ → 71¢	$3	+$0 +14%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?Ends ended	No	28	51¢ → 9¢	$3	−$12 −82%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d	No	3	61¢ → 65¢	$2	+$0 +6.0%
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 32d	Yes	3	47¢ → 69¢	$2	+$1 +47%
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	4	37¢ → 36¢	$1	−$0 −4.1%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Ends in 68d	No	2	56¢ → 56¢	$1	−$0 −0.9%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 67d	No	1	54¢ → 46¢	$1	−$0 −16%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 68d	Yes	5	43¢ → 11¢	$1	−$2 −74%
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 7d	No	10	87¢ → 5¢	$0	−$8 −95%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 45d	Yes	12	17¢ → 1¢	$0	−$2 −94%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Settled - ready to redeem	No	15	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	114	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	23	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	25	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3h	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	SellYes43¢	$11
5h	Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?	BuyYes57¢	$8
5h	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?	BuyNo79¢	$10
5h	Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?	BuyYes83¢	$10
9h	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	BuyNo78¢	$10
11h	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	SellNo72¢	$10
20h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	BuyYes31¢	$8
20h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	BuyYes30¢	$2
23h	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	SellYes61¢	$10
1d	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	BuyYes53¢	$9
1d	Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	SellNo84¢	$8
1d	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	BuyNo72¢	$9
1d	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	BuyNo90¢	$9
1d	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BuyNo85¢	$10
1d	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	BuyYes37¢	$11
1d	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	BuyNo36¢	$12
2d	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	BuyNo62¢	$12
2d	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	BuyNo78¢	$13
2d	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	BuyYes32¢	$13
2d	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?	BuyNo51¢	$14
2d	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	BuyNo39¢	$16
2d	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?	SellNo72¢	$15
2d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?	BuyYes39¢	$4
2d	Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	BuyNo73¢	$16
2d	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	BuyNo87¢	$9
4d	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	SellNo80¢	$16
4d	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	SellYes52¢	$6
4d	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?	BuyNo62¢	$16
4d	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	SellYes55¢	$3
4d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes85¢	$16
5d	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	SellYes55¢	$6
5d	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	SellNo99¢	$7
5d	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	SellNo99¢	$8
6d	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	SellNo99¢	$2
6d	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	SellNo99¢	$2
7d	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	BuyNo69¢	$16
7d	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	SellYes65¢	$6
8d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyNo87¢	$16
8d	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	BuyNo77¢	$18
8d	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	SellNo99¢	$13
9d	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?	BuyYes45¢	$6
9d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	BuyNo88¢	$18
9d	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	BuyNo90¢	$19
9d	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	BuyNo83¢	$20
10d	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	SellNo96¢	$14
10d	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	SellYes20¢	$29
10d	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	SellNo91¢	$20
10d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellNo28¢	$11
10d	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	SellNo99¢	$14
10d	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	SellNo95¢	$15
10d	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?	SellNo97¢	$8
10d	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?	SellNo97¢	$5
10d	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?	SellNo97¢	$4
10d	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 16, 2026?	BuyNo53¢	$12
10d	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	BuyNo71¢	$11
10d	Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	SellNo84¢	$12
11d	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 13, 2026?	SellYes65¢	$12
11d	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 13, 2026?	BuyYes56¢	$12
11d	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	SellNo55¢	$6
11d	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	SellNo55¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 39 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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