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Polymarket wallet 0xbcfe6375a77c20e640e5cf6644257207b8236dd6 · on Polymarket since Sep 26, 2024 · also shown as Tough-Navigation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 55 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $55 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?Settled - ready to redeem | Mamdani | 5 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.