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Polymarket wallet 0xc4f880d5d07fa6fba9fb605c3d4b038e5a319e48 · on Polymarket since Apr 4, 2025 · also shown as Long-Term-Essential
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | Miami vs. Indiana | BuyMiami26¢ | $10 |
| 364d | Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 364d | Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 364d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes29¢ | $20 |
| 364d | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes54¢ | $20 |
| 364d | US bank failure by November 30? | BuyNo73¢ | $5 |
| 364d | Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 364d | Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma | BuyOle Miss36¢ | $20 |
| 499d | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July? | BuyYes50¢ | $10 |
| 499d | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 499d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
| 567d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyYes22¢ | $2 |
| 567d | 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 567d | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyNo20¢ | $1 |
| 567d | No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes68¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.