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Polymarket wallet 0xe4c56d3a210ab43a726bed837386eb63093f081c · on Polymarket since Oct 13, 2025 · also shown as Apt-Field
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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$7 +69% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 26¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$8 +285% |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 22 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.