| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 111 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $101 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Jumper listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 465d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $40 | +$8 +25% |
| Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.2% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.8% |
| SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $15 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 79¢ → 70¢ | $13 | −$2 −11% |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Will the UK Budget include a land value tax?Ends in 5d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 13 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the UK Budget include a wealth tax?Ends in 5d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +18% |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Meta announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.9% |
| Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.8% |
| FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.4% |
| Axis Robotics FDV above $50M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Ends in 159d | Yes | 13 | 76¢ → 68¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?Ends in 435d | Yes | 11 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $8 | −$0 −5.7% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $7 | +$2 +27% |
| DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 62¢ | $7 | −$3 −33% |
| Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$1 +18% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $6 | −$0 −8.2% |
| ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 6 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 81¢ | $5 | −$0 −9.0% |
| Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$1 −12% |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 6 | 32¢ → 64¢ | $4 | +$2 +100% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 64¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 24, 2026?Ends ended | No | 4 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 6 | 88¢ → 64¢ | $4 | −$1 −27% |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$0 +14% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 4 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$0 +9.1% |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 61¢ | $3 | −$1 −28% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 4 | 54¢ → 63¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.8% |
| US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 3 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.8% |
| ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 2 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 7 | 42¢ → 28¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will AlloX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 77¢ → 68¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 52¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 74¢ → 35¢ | $0 | −$1 −53% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Ends ended | No | 5 | 56¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$3 −87% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$10 −99% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Beef" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Cookie" in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
