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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  AgricultureSecretary | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,454 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Trusty-Towel | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  Tenebrus72 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,957 | +$43 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  duderr | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,100 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  MasonsConqueredRome | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  jesterthegoose | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  ULYSSES18 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  dooby | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  MisTKy38 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $42,989 | +$3,083 +7.2% | 20 |
| 298d | Eatpraylove | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo100¢ | $1,340 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 298d | onekey092 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,169 | +$345 +6.7% | 20 |
| 299d |  archaic3 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,438 | −$61 −1.1% | — |
| 299d | MisTKy36 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $28,682 | −$2,119 −7.4% | — |
| 303d | Eatpraylove4 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,976 | +$811 +14% | 20 |
| 310d |  XAE12Archangel | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$30 −2.1% | — |
| 313d |  Simbaaaa | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,368 | −$76 −1.2% | — |
| 314d |  spectral-mango-protocol | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,891 | +$54 +1.1% | 20 |
| 317d | 854A78433 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,768 | −$1,121 −13% | — |
| 317d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,968 | −$32 −1.1% | — |
| 319d |  Mecky | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,085 | −$40 −1.3% | — |
| 321d |  studmuffin69692 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,471 | −$83 −2.4% | — |
| 321d | LeftieFTW | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 326d | studmuffin69693 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,680 | +$320 +4.8% | 20 |
| 331d | rulki | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,466 | +$115 +3.3% | 20 |
| 332d | HardlandSus2 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | −$159 −6.7% | — |
| 337d | archaic3 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,054 | +$291 +4.1% | 20 |
| 340d |  carySantano | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 345d |  Goopster | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,116 | −$317 −5.2% | — |
| 350d |  ImJustKen | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,477 | −$718 −5.3% | — |
| 352d | Goopster | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,047 | +$386 +6.4% | 20 |
| 353d |  AlAhmeda | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$97 +7.5% | 20 |
| 353d | Mecky3 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,789 | +$515 +11% | 20 |
| 354d | SILF | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,284 | −$720 −8.7% | — |
| 355d | Simbaaaa | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,997 | +$451 +7.5% | 20 |
| 355d | 854A78433 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $13,345 | +$2,559 +19% | 20 |
| 355d | test-97 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$136 −9.9% | — |
| 356d | denizz2 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $26,769 | +$5,701 +21% | 20 |
| 360d | SILF | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 20 |
| 361d |  NoClueAtAll | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | −$450 −9.9% | — |
| 365d |  BernardLHester2 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,849 | −$459 −16% | — |
| 367d | NoClueAtAll | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | +$456 +10% | 20 |
| 370d | F-00 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$145 −9.9% | — |
| 378d | JoeBlack01 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$237 −19% | — |
| 379d | denizz | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,426 | −$497 −20% | — |
| 379d | jaja5050 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$225 +20% | 20 |
| 379d | KennyM | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$205 +20% | 20 |
| 381d |  Dapsy | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$938 +23% | 20 |
| 382d | jjx1970 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,480 | +$1,520 +23% | 20 |
| 384d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | −$570 −23% | — |
| 385d |  Car | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | −$1,609 −100% | 23 |
| 387d | 11122 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$291 +22% | 20 |
| 387d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,435 | +$919 +21% | 20 |
| 388d |  Serega-pro | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$287 +24% | 20 |
| 389d | exposito2 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $10,032 | +$1,642 +16% | 20 |
| 389d | Car | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,679 | +$321 +19% | 20 |
| 401d |  garbagetruck | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | +$361 +18% | 20 |
| 417d | Rainbow-Jereme2 fills | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,440 | +$1,032 +23% | 20 |
| 428d | Junior-Colt | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | −$520 −23% | — |
| 433d | Junior-Colt | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$808 +20% | 20 |
| 447d |  x3560 | Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$315 −23% | — |
djwcx2,734 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 26, 7:00 PM ET and, December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.