| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 62 | 61¢ → 92¢ | $57 | +$19 +51% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 55¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$1 −26% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 59¢ → 72¢ | $2 | +$0 +23% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +19% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 53¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$1 +81% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 433d | No | 3 | 39¢ → 63¢ | $2 | +$1 +60% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 47¢ → 37¢ | $2 | −$0 −22% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 280d | No | 2 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.1% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 2 | 57¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +30% |
| Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +26% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +24% |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of October?Ends in 5d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 54¢ | $1 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +10% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Clavicular in jail by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in October?Ends in 7d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 36¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$1 −54% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −58% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 5 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 72 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 0 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 28 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Mexico | 11 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 1 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 8 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 47m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| CD Marquense vs. CSD Xelajú MC: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 10 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 1 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 43m first week streams?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 6 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
