| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 5,000 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $4,625 | +$199 +4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $4,575 | +$430 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,757 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $2,637 | +$67 +2.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 3,520 | 48¢ → 67¢ | $2,341 | +$651 +38% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 2,500 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $2,163 | −$77 −3.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $1,870 | +$208 +13% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?Ends in 69d | No | 1,582 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,544 | +$70 +4.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 1d | No | 1,500 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,476 | +$92 +6.6% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,500 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,474 | +$62 +4.4% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,499 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,454 | +$70 +5.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $1,387 | +$100 +7.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,500 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $1,298 | +$9 +0.7% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,106 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $1,039 | +$139 +15% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $934 | +$50 +5.7% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1,000 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $925 | +$84 +10% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 3,500 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $858 | −$378 −31% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | Yes | 730 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $676 | +$29 +4.4% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 550 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $469 | −$20 −4.0% |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $465 | +$12 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 505 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$8 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 505 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $407 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be less than 900,000?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $384 | +$25 +6.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$20 +5.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 390 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $365 | +$3 +0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 252 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $244 | +$29 +14% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $242 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $240 | +$8 +3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $236 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $229 | +$6 +2.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 250 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $214 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $184 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 188 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $171 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 177 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $167 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 150 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $131 | −$4 −2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$7 +8.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | No | 100 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$0 +0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 96 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $95 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $89 | +$8 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $88 | −$6 −5.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$12 −13% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Ends in 250d | No | 170 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $71 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 75 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $63 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 44¢ → 61¢ | $61 | +$17 +38% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $52 | −$10 −15% |
| Kash Patel out by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 65 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $48 | +$13 +37% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$4 +7.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$4 +10% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 55 | 91¢ → 84¢ | $46 | −$4 −7.7% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 67¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$11 +32% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $42 | −$4 −8.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $40 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 50 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $39 | +$3 +7.6% |
| Will the Republicans win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $37 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $36 | +$2 +6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 38 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 60¢ → 20¢ | $29 | −$61 −68% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 25 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 25 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 24 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 82¢ → 73¢ | $18 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 25 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $18 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 25 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $18 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 36¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$23 −64% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 520 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.0% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$6 −41% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 68¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$30 −80% |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$38 −85% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$2 −37% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$1 −21% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$19 −95% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | United States | 10 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
